Trader consensus prices United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election at 70.5%, reflecting its institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats and 225 single-member districts—where administrative resources historically deliver sweeping victories despite list vote polls showing 38–56% support in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People trails at 20.9% amid a polling surge to 9–14% in March 2026 pro-Kremlin data, positioning it to challenge LDPR and KPRF for second but facing barriers to overall leadership. Recent developments include United Russia's primaries launching in March with "Western influence" screenings and war veteran bonuses, alongside Kremlin directives for public party sparring to simulate competition, and party targets of 55% list vote and 195 single-member wins amid acknowledged risks in 30 regions. LDPR (5.8¢), KPRF (1.3¢), and others lag on weaker polls and limited SMD prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Единая Россия (ЕР) 71%
Новые люди (NL) 21.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.8%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.3%
$4,392,680 Объем
$4,392,680 Объем
Единая Россия (ЕР)
71%
Новые люди (NL)
21%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 71%
Новые люди (NL) 21.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.8%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.3%
$4,392,680 Объем
$4,392,680 Объем
Единая Россия (ЕР)
71%
Новые люди (NL)
21%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election at 70.5%, reflecting its institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats and 225 single-member districts—where administrative resources historically deliver sweeping victories despite list vote polls showing 38–56% support in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People trails at 20.9% amid a polling surge to 9–14% in March 2026 pro-Kremlin data, positioning it to challenge LDPR and KPRF for second but facing barriers to overall leadership. Recent developments include United Russia's primaries launching in March with "Western influence" screenings and war veteran bonuses, alongside Kremlin directives for public party sparring to simulate competition, and party targets of 55% list vote and 195 single-member wins amid acknowledged risks in 30 regions. LDPR (5.8¢), KPRF (1.3¢), and others lag on weaker polls and limited SMD prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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