Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands 91.5% trader consensus in the nonpartisan May 12 municipal election, driven by his 12-year record of progress in public safety—homicides at 1950s lows—housing enforcement via a new "bad landlords" list, and economic development, as showcased in his March 31 State of the City address. With no term limits and challengers like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague viewed as minor and fragmented, Baraka holds a clear path absent polls showing otherwise. A recent letter from 12 candidates, including Jhamar Youngblood, requesting U.S. DOJ monitoring for potential fraud and intimidation highlights opposition concerns, though unlikely to shift odds without a major scandal, legal challenge, or turnout surge fracturing his base.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 92%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
Douglas Davis 1.8%
Nasheedah Singleton 1.8%
Ras Baraka
92%
Sheila Montague
2%
Douglas Davis
2%
Nasheedah Singleton
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
1%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 92%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
Douglas Davis 1.8%
Nasheedah Singleton 1.8%
Ras Baraka
92%
Sheila Montague
2%
Douglas Davis
2%
Nasheedah Singleton
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
1%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Открытие рынка: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands 91.5% trader consensus in the nonpartisan May 12 municipal election, driven by his 12-year record of progress in public safety—homicides at 1950s lows—housing enforcement via a new "bad landlords" list, and economic development, as showcased in his March 31 State of the City address. With no term limits and challengers like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague viewed as minor and fragmented, Baraka holds a clear path absent polls showing otherwise. A recent letter from 12 candidates, including Jhamar Youngblood, requesting U.S. DOJ monitoring for potential fraud and intimidation highlights opposition concerns, though unlikely to shift odds without a major scandal, legal challenge, or turnout surge fracturing his base.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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