Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 89% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race due to his unchallenged dominance in the nonpartisan May 12, 2026, general election, bolstered by a weak field of seven minor challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline. Recent analysis highlights none as credible threats, reinforcing his path to a fourth term amid no term limits and strong local machine support. Baraka's March 31 State of the City address emphasized city progress, while a dozen candidates' Monday request for U.S. Department of Justice election monitoring over fraud concerns has not shifted odds, with voter registration closing April 21. Late scandals or turnout surges could alter the outcome, though historical incumbent advantages in Newark favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%
Douglas Davis 3.1%
Sheila Montague 2.9%
Ras Baraka
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Debra Salters
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%
Douglas Davis 3.1%
Sheila Montague 2.9%
Ras Baraka
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Debra Salters
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Открытие рынка: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 89% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race due to his unchallenged dominance in the nonpartisan May 12, 2026, general election, bolstered by a weak field of seven minor challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline. Recent analysis highlights none as credible threats, reinforcing his path to a fourth term amid no term limits and strong local machine support. Baraka's March 31 State of the City address emphasized city progress, while a dozen candidates' Monday request for U.S. Department of Justice election monitoring over fraud concerns has not shifted odds, with voter registration closing April 21. Late scandals or turnout surges could alter the outcome, though historical incumbent advantages in Newark favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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