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Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии

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Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии

Демократическая партия Кореи (ДПК) 95.9%

Партия «Сила народа» (PPP) 3.5%

Прогрессивная партия (ПП) <1%

Партия реформ (ПР) <1%

Polymarket

$2,047,843 Объем

Демократическая партия Кореи (ДПК) 95.9%

Партия «Сила народа» (PPP) 3.5%

Прогрессивная партия (ПП) <1%

Партия реформ (ПР) <1%

Polymarket

$2,047,843 Объем

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Демократическая партия Кореи (ДПК)

$430,786 Объем

96%

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Партия «Сила народа» (PPP)

$985,776 Объем

3%

Market icon

Прогрессивная партия (ПП)

$278,812 Объем

<1%

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Партия реформ (ПР)

$126,302 Объем

<1%

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Партия восстановления Кореи (RKP)

$226,168 Объем

<1%

South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces: Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Yoon Suk Yeol's approval rating has plunged below 20% following his short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, which the National Assembly swiftly revoked amid widespread protests and bipartisan backlash, severely damaging the ruling People Power Party (PPP). This compounds PPP's losses in the April 2024 legislative elections, where the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) secured a landslide majority of 192 seats. Historical patterns show local elections favoring opposition parties during unpopular presidencies, driving trader consensus toward DP dominance in the June 2026 contests for governors, mayors, and council seats. Challenges could arise from Yoon's potential impeachment reversal, a new PPP leader, or DP infighting, though current momentum favors DP.

President Yoon Suk Yeol's approval rating has plunged below 20% following his short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, which the National Assembly swiftly revoked amid widespread protests and bipartisan backlash, severely damaging the ruling People Power Party (PPP). This compounds PPP's losses in the April 2024 legislative elections, where the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) secured a landslide majority of 192 seats. Historical patterns show local elections favoring opposition parties during unpopular presidencies, driving trader consensus toward DP dominance in the June 2026 contests for governors, mayors, and council seats. Challenges could arise from Yoon's potential impeachment reversal, a new PPP leader, or DP infighting, though current momentum favors DP.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces: Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Yoon Suk Yeol's approval rating has plunged below 20% following his short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, which the National Assembly swiftly revoked amid widespread protests and bipartisan backlash, severely damaging the ruling People Power Party (PPP). This compounds PPP's losses in the April 2024 legislative elections, where the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) secured a landslide majority of 192 seats. Historical patterns show local elections favoring opposition parties during unpopular presidencies, driving trader consensus toward DP dominance in the June 2026 contests for governors, mayors, and council seats. Challenges could arise from Yoon's potential impeachment reversal, a new PPP leader, or DP infighting, though current momentum favors DP.

President Yoon Suk Yeol's approval rating has plunged below 20% following his short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, which the National Assembly swiftly revoked amid widespread protests and bipartisan backlash, severely damaging the ruling People Power Party (PPP). This compounds PPP's losses in the April 2024 legislative elections, where the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) secured a landslide majority of 192 seats. Historical patterns show local elections favoring opposition parties during unpopular presidencies, driving trader consensus toward DP dominance in the June 2026 contests for governors, mayors, and council seats. Challenges could arise from Yoon's potential impeachment reversal, a new PPP leader, or DP infighting, though current momentum favors DP.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Демократическая партия Кореи (ДПК)» с 96%, за ним следует «Партия «Сила народа» (PPP)» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии» — «Демократическая партия Кореи (ДПК)» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Партия «Сила народа» (PPP)» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Местные выборы в Южной Корее в 2026 году: победитель партии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.