Jerry Carl holds the strongest position in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026, following a U.S. Supreme Court redistricting decision that prompted a special primary under revised maps. His prior service representing the district and lead in the non-binding May 19 primary, where he outperformed the field, have shaped trader consensus. Several candidates, including Rhett Marques and Joshua McKee, have shifted to the 2nd District, narrowing the AL-01 field to Carl and lower-profile challengers. This realignment, combined with Carl's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the current implied probabilities ahead of the top-vote-getter nomination process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжерри Карл 69%
Джошуа Макки 16.8%
Ретт Маркес 6%
Джеймс Дис 3.1%
$45,322 Объем
$45,322 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Джерри Карл
76%
Джошуа Макки
17%
Ретт Маркес
6%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Джон Миллс
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
1%
Джерри Карл 69%
Джошуа Макки 16.8%
Ретт Маркес 6%
Джеймс Дис 3.1%
$45,322 Объем
$45,322 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Джерри Карл
$2,805 Объем
76%
Джошуа Макки
$199 Объем
17%
Ретт Маркес
$501 Объем
6%
Джеймс Дис
$4,595 Объем
3%
Джон Миллс
$16,613 Объем
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
$13,752 Объем
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
$6,858 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds the strongest position in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026, following a U.S. Supreme Court redistricting decision that prompted a special primary under revised maps. His prior service representing the district and lead in the non-binding May 19 primary, where he outperformed the field, have shaped trader consensus. Several candidates, including Rhett Marques and Joshua McKee, have shifted to the 2nd District, narrowing the AL-01 field to Carl and lower-profile challengers. This realignment, combined with Carl's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the current implied probabilities ahead of the top-vote-getter nomination process.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Объем
$45,322Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds the strongest position in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026, following a U.S. Supreme Court redistricting decision that prompted a special primary under revised maps. His prior service representing the district and lead in the non-binding May 19 primary, where he outperformed the field, have shaped trader consensus. Several candidates, including Rhett Marques and Joshua McKee, have shifted to the 2nd District, narrowing the AL-01 field to Carl and lower-profile challengers. This realignment, combined with Carl's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the current implied probabilities ahead of the top-vote-getter nomination process.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$45,322Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl holds the strongest position in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026, following a U.S. Supreme Court redistricting decision that prompted a special primary under revised maps. His prior service representing the district and lead in the non-binding May 19 primary, where he outperformed the field, have shaped trader consensus. Several candidates, including Rhett Marques and Joshua McKee, have shifted to the 2nd District, narrowing the AL-01 field to Carl and lower-profile challengers. This realignment, combined with Carl's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the current implied probabilities ahead of the top-vote-getter nomination process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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