Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market due to his prior service as the district's U.S. Representative from 2021 to 2025 and resulting name recognition across Mobile and surrounding areas, factors that have sustained trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primary. Rhett Marques, a state representative, gained temporary polling momentum in early May but has not closed the gap in subsequent indicators. The remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee and Rhett Marques's lower-priced challengers, lack comparable statewide profile or organizational backing in this open-seat contest following Barry Moore's Senate bid. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages in a district where geographic and incumbency patterns have historically shaped Republican outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжерри Карл 85%
Джошуа Макки 9.4%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 1.6%
$45,273 Объем
$45,273 Объем
Джерри Карл
85%
Джошуа Макки
9%
Ретт Маркес
9%
Джеймс Дис
2%
Остин Сидуэлл
1%
Джеймс Ричардсон
1%
Джон Миллс
<1%
Джерри Карл 85%
Джошуа Макки 9.4%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 1.6%
$45,273 Объем
$45,273 Объем
Джерри Карл
85%
Джошуа Макки
9%
Ретт Маркес
9%
Джеймс Дис
2%
Остин Сидуэлл
1%
Джеймс Ричардсон
1%
Джон Миллс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market due to his prior service as the district's U.S. Representative from 2021 to 2025 and resulting name recognition across Mobile and surrounding areas, factors that have sustained trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primary. Rhett Marques, a state representative, gained temporary polling momentum in early May but has not closed the gap in subsequent indicators. The remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee and Rhett Marques's lower-priced challengers, lack comparable statewide profile or organizational backing in this open-seat contest following Barry Moore's Senate bid. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages in a district where geographic and incumbency patterns have historically shaped Republican outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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