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Политика·Болгария

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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Политика·Болгария

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

NEW
Apr 19, 2026
Polymarket

$147 Объем

Polymarket
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ITN

$0 Объем

76%

Market icon

BSP

$0 Объем

76%

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MECh

$0 Объем

75%

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Velichie

$147 Объем

71%

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APS

$0 Объем

69%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, with 240 National Assembly seats at stake and a 4% national vote threshold required for parties to enter. Former President Rumen Radev's resignation in January 2026 to lead the new Progressive Bulgaria coalition has propelled it to poll-leading 25-30% support in surveys from Alpha Research and Market Links (March 12-21), reflecting trader consensus on its strong debut amid voter frustration with corruption and budget failures that toppled the Zhelyazkov government in December 2025. GERB-UDF (20-22%), We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (11-13%), MRF-New Beginning (9-10%), and nationalist Vuzrazhdane (5-7%) also clear the threshold, while BSP for Socialists hovers near 4%. Official campaigning began March 20, with expected high turnout potentially shifting margins before coalition negotiations.

Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, with 240 National Assembly seats at stake and a 4% national vote threshold required for parties to enter. Former President Rumen Radev's resignation in January 2026 to lead the new Progressive Bulgaria coalition has propelled it to poll-leading 25-30% support in surveys from Alpha Research and Market Links (March 12-21), reflecting trader consensus on its strong debut amid voter frustration with corruption and budget failures that toppled the Zhelyazkov government in December 2025. GERB-UDF (20-22%), We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (11-13%), MRF-New Beginning (9-10%), and nationalist Vuzrazhdane (5-7%) also clear the threshold, while BSP for Socialists hovers near 4%. Official campaigning began March 20, with expected high turnout potentially shifting margins before coalition negotiations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, with 240 National Assembly seats at stake and a 4% national vote threshold required for parties to enter. Former President Rumen Radev's resignation in January 2026 to lead the new Progressive Bulgaria coalition has propelled it to poll-leading 25-30% support in surveys from Alpha Research and Market Links (March 12-21), reflecting trader consensus on its strong debut amid voter frustration with corruption and budget failures that toppled the Zhelyazkov government in December 2025. GERB-UDF (20-22%), We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (11-13%), MRF-New Beginning (9-10%), and nationalist Vuzrazhdane (5-7%) also clear the threshold, while BSP for Socialists hovers near 4%. Official campaigning began March 20, with expected high turnout potentially shifting margins before coalition negotiations.

Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, with 240 National Assembly seats at stake and a 4% national vote threshold required for parties to enter. Former President Rumen Radev's resignation in January 2026 to lead the new Progressive Bulgaria coalition has propelled it to poll-leading 25-30% support in surveys from Alpha Research and Market Links (March 12-21), reflecting trader consensus on its strong debut amid voter frustration with corruption and budget failures that toppled the Zhelyazkov government in December 2025. GERB-UDF (20-22%), We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (11-13%), MRF-New Beginning (9-10%), and nationalist Vuzrazhdane (5-7%) also clear the threshold, while BSP for Socialists hovers near 4%. Official campaigning began March 20, with expected high turnout potentially shifting margins before coalition negotiations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «ITN» с 76%, за ним следует «BSP» с 76%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 76¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?» — «ITN» с 76%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Следующий ближайший исход — «BSP» с 76%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.