Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2.8M-3.0M range for April 2 TSA checkpoint throughput at 56% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 2.6M-2.8M at 51.5%, reflecting closely contested dynamics amid record spring break demand projected at 171 million passengers through April. Recent TSA data through March 26 shows daily volumes averaging 2.6-2.7 million, with peaks like 2.87 million on March 22, but staffing shortages from ongoing Department of Homeland Security funding disputes have strained operations without curbing travel momentum. Pre-Easter surge expectations for April 2—a Wednesday before the April 5 holiday—hinge on airline capacity additions and weather, with resolution pending official TSA release shortly after.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено2.8M-3.0M 66%
2.6M-2.8M 52%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
<2.4M 18%
<2.4M
18%
2.4M-2.6M
18%
2.6M-2.8M
52%
2.8M-3.0M
66%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
>3.2M
3%
2.8M-3.0M 66%
2.6M-2.8M 52%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
<2.4M 18%
<2.4M
18%
2.4M-2.6M
18%
2.6M-2.8M
52%
2.8M-3.0M
66%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
>3.2M
3%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2.8M-3.0M range for April 2 TSA checkpoint throughput at 56% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 2.6M-2.8M at 51.5%, reflecting closely contested dynamics amid record spring break demand projected at 171 million passengers through April. Recent TSA data through March 26 shows daily volumes averaging 2.6-2.7 million, with peaks like 2.87 million on March 22, but staffing shortages from ongoing Department of Homeland Security funding disputes have strained operations without curbing travel momentum. Pre-Easter surge expectations for April 2—a Wednesday before the April 5 holiday—hinge on airline capacity additions and weather, with resolution pending official TSA release shortly after.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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