Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 2.4M-2.6M passengers screened at TSA checkpoints on March 30, with 48.5% implied probability edging out near-even odds for sub-2.2M, 2.2M-2.4M, and 2.6M-2.8M bins at 47% each, reflecting razor-thin uncertainty in peak spring break dynamics. Recent volumes fluctuated wildly amid record demand—peaking at 2.87M on March 22 and 2.72M on March 26—but dipped to 2.19M on March 24 as a partial DHS shutdown drove TSA absences to 40-50%, sparking 4-hour lines and officer quits. Key swing factors include weekend travel patterns, potential pay resolution boosting staffing, and whether chaos deters flyers, with airlines projecting 2.8M daily averages through April.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<2.2M 45%
2.6M-2.8M 43%
2.4M-2.6M 42%
2.2M-2.4M 41%
<2.2M
45%
2.2M-2.4M
41%
2.4M-2.6M
42%
2.6M-2.8M
43%
2.8M-3.0M
25%
>3.0M
1%
<2.2M 45%
2.6M-2.8M 43%
2.4M-2.6M 42%
2.2M-2.4M 41%
<2.2M
45%
2.2M-2.4M
41%
2.4M-2.6M
42%
2.6M-2.8M
43%
2.8M-3.0M
25%
>3.0M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 2.4M-2.6M passengers screened at TSA checkpoints on March 30, with 48.5% implied probability edging out near-even odds for sub-2.2M, 2.2M-2.4M, and 2.6M-2.8M bins at 47% each, reflecting razor-thin uncertainty in peak spring break dynamics. Recent volumes fluctuated wildly amid record demand—peaking at 2.87M on March 22 and 2.72M on March 26—but dipped to 2.19M on March 24 as a partial DHS shutdown drove TSA absences to 40-50%, sparking 4-hour lines and officer quits. Key swing factors include weekend travel patterns, potential pay resolution boosting staffing, and whether chaos deters flyers, with airlines projecting 2.8M daily averages through April.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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