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Экономика·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

Market icon
Экономика·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<2.4M 63%

2.4M-2.6M 42%

2.6M-2.8M 5%

>3.2M <1%

Polymarket
NEW

<2.4M 63%

2.4M-2.6M 42%

2.6M-2.8M 5%

>3.2M <1%

Polymarket
NEW

<2.4M

$74 Объем

63%

2.4M-2.6M

$0 Объем

42%

2.6M-2.8M

$115 Объем

5%

2.8M-3.0M

$15 Объем

1%

3.0M-3.2M

$124 Объем

1%

>3.2M

$38 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput below 2.4 million on March 31, driven by the escalating DHS partial shutdown now in its sixth week, which has prompted over 450 TSA officers to quit and pushed daily absences above 10% nationwide. Record four-hour-plus security lines at major airports are bottlenecking volumes, as evidenced by recent weekday data: 2.19 million on Tuesday March 24, 2.38 million Wednesday March 25, and 2.72 million Thursday March 26—well below peak spring break norms despite strong demand forecasts of 171 million passengers through April. The closely contested 42% odds on 2.4-2.6 million reflect uncertainty around a potential funding resolution, with March 31 Tuesday resolution hinging on weekend staffing developments.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput below 2.4 million on March 31, driven by the escalating DHS partial shutdown now in its sixth week, which has prompted over 450 TSA officers to quit and pushed daily absences above 10% nationwide. Record four-hour-plus security lines at major airports are bottlenecking volumes, as evidenced by recent weekday data: 2.19 million on Tuesday March 24, 2.38 million Wednesday March 25, and 2.72 million Thursday March 26—well below peak spring break norms despite strong demand forecasts of 171 million passengers through April. The closely contested 42% odds on 2.4-2.6 million reflect uncertainty around a potential funding resolution, with March 31 Tuesday resolution hinging on weekend staffing developments.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput below 2.4 million on March 31, driven by the escalating DHS partial shutdown now in its sixth week, which has prompted over 450 TSA officers to quit and pushed daily absences above 10% nationwide. Record four-hour-plus security lines at major airports are bottlenecking volumes, as evidenced by recent weekday data: 2.19 million on Tuesday March 24, 2.38 million Wednesday March 25, and 2.72 million Thursday March 26—well below peak spring break norms despite strong demand forecasts of 171 million passengers through April. The closely contested 42% odds on 2.4-2.6 million reflect uncertainty around a potential funding resolution, with March 31 Tuesday resolution hinging on weekend staffing developments.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70.5% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput below 2.4 million on March 31, driven by the escalating DHS partial shutdown now in its sixth week, which has prompted over 450 TSA officers to quit and pushed daily absences above 10% nationwide. Record four-hour-plus security lines at major airports are bottlenecking volumes, as evidenced by recent weekday data: 2.19 million on Tuesday March 24, 2.38 million Wednesday March 25, and 2.72 million Thursday March 26—well below peak spring break norms despite strong demand forecasts of 171 million passengers through April. The closely contested 42% odds on 2.4-2.6 million reflect uncertainty around a potential funding resolution, with March 31 Tuesday resolution hinging on weekend staffing developments.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<2.4M» с 63%, за ним следует «2.4M-2.6M» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 63¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — «<2.4M» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2.4M-2.6M» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.