Trader sentiment remains tightly split between fewer than 5,000 US flight delays at 41.5% and over 8,000 at 40.0%, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns across key hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, and New York-area airports. Yesterday's March 29 delays totaled around 4,200 per DOT data, bolstered by calm conditions nationwide, favoring the low-delay outcome, but National Weather Service forecasts warn of potential thunderstorms in the Southeast and Midwest today, which could spike tarmac holds and air traffic control rerouting similar to mid-March disruptions that pushed daily totals above 9,000. No FAA ground stops or major airline alerts issued yet, keeping middle-range bins like 5,000-6,000 viable at 32.5%; real-time updates from FlightAware or unexpected convective activity could decisively separate leaders by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<5,000 42%
>8,000 40%
5,000-5,500 33%
5,500-6,000 32%
<5,000
42%
5,000-5,500
33%
5,500-6,000
32%
6,000-6,500
32%
6,500-7,000
32%
7,000-7,500
32%
7,500-8,000
32%
>8,000
40%
<5,000 42%
>8,000 40%
5,000-5,500 33%
5,500-6,000 32%
<5,000
42%
5,000-5,500
33%
5,500-6,000
32%
6,000-6,500
32%
6,500-7,000
32%
7,000-7,500
32%
7,500-8,000
32%
>8,000
40%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment remains tightly split between fewer than 5,000 US flight delays at 41.5% and over 8,000 at 40.0%, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns across key hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, and New York-area airports. Yesterday's March 29 delays totaled around 4,200 per DOT data, bolstered by calm conditions nationwide, favoring the low-delay outcome, but National Weather Service forecasts warn of potential thunderstorms in the Southeast and Midwest today, which could spike tarmac holds and air traffic control rerouting similar to mid-March disruptions that pushed daily totals above 9,000. No FAA ground stops or major airline alerts issued yet, keeping middle-range bins like 5,000-6,000 viable at 32.5%; real-time updates from FlightAware or unexpected convective activity could decisively separate leaders by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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