Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 24-31, 2026, at around 340 posts, with the 320-339 and 340-359 bins deadlocked at 11.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid political headlines and X platform dominance. Recent surges—averaging 40-50 tweets daily post-2024 election and DOGE role—have reset baselines from pre-2022 norms of 20-30 per day, fueling optimism for continued prolific output despite occasional lulls during travel or launches. Tight clustering underscores volatility from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla unveils or Starship tests, where even minor news cycles could swing totals by 50-100 posts, making mid-300s the value zone for position traders eyeing historical weekly variances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено320–339 12%
340-359 12%
360–379 10%
280–299 9%
$601,654 Объем
$601,654 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280–299
9%
300-319
9%
320–339
12%
340-359
12%
360–379
10%
380-399
9%
400–419
6%
420-439
5%
440–459
4%
460–479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
320–339 12%
340-359 12%
360–379 10%
280–299 9%
$601,654 Объем
$601,654 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280–299
9%
300-319
9%
320–339
12%
340-359
12%
360–379
10%
380-399
9%
400–419
6%
420-439
5%
440–459
4%
460–479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 24-31, 2026, at around 340 posts, with the 320-339 and 340-359 bins deadlocked at 11.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid political headlines and X platform dominance. Recent surges—averaging 40-50 tweets daily post-2024 election and DOGE role—have reset baselines from pre-2022 norms of 20-30 per day, fueling optimism for continued prolific output despite occasional lulls during travel or launches. Tight clustering underscores volatility from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla unveils or Starship tests, where even minor news cycles could swing totals by 50-100 posts, making mid-300s the value zone for position traders eyeing historical weekly variances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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