Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 340-399 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, with 340-359 tweets leading at 12% implied probability, closely trailed by 360-379 (11.5%) and 380-399 (10.8%). This clustering reflects Elon's explosive 2024-2025 posting pace—often exceeding 50 posts daily amid political firestorms, Tesla unveils, and xAI hype—averaging 300-400 weekly during peaks, per recent analytics from X trackers. Sentiment hinges on his unpredictable bursts tied to global events, like potential 2026 Mars milestones or regulatory clashes, versus quieter lulls; traders weigh historical variance, with no major catalysts confirmed yet, keeping mid-300s bins neck-and-neck amid bets on cultural staying power.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено340-359 12%
360–379 12%
380-399 10.8%
320–339 11%
$1,574,873 Объем
$1,574,873 Объем
60–79
<1%
80–99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180–199
<1%
200-219
1%
220–239
2%
240-259
5%
260-279
7%
280-299
8%
300-319
10%
320–339
11%
340-359
12%
360–379
12%
380-399
11%
400–419
8%
420-439
4%
440–459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
340-359 12%
360–379 12%
380-399 10.8%
320–339 11%
$1,574,873 Объем
$1,574,873 Объем
60–79
<1%
80–99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180–199
<1%
200-219
1%
220–239
2%
240-259
5%
260-279
7%
280-299
8%
300-319
10%
320–339
11%
340-359
12%
360–379
12%
380-399
11%
400–419
8%
420-439
4%
440–459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 340-399 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, with 340-359 tweets leading at 12% implied probability, closely trailed by 360-379 (11.5%) and 380-399 (10.8%). This clustering reflects Elon's explosive 2024-2025 posting pace—often exceeding 50 posts daily amid political firestorms, Tesla unveils, and xAI hype—averaging 300-400 weekly during peaks, per recent analytics from X trackers. Sentiment hinges on his unpredictable bursts tied to global events, like potential 2026 Mars milestones or regulatory clashes, versus quieter lulls; traders weigh historical variance, with no major catalysts confirmed yet, keeping mid-300s bins neck-and-neck amid bets on cultural staying power.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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