Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Rob Adkerson, John Hobbs, and William Brown deadlocked at 40.5% implied probabilities amid a crowded roster of contenders pitching similar conservative platforms on border security, economic growth, and election integrity. Recent FEC filings show neck-and-neck fundraising totals under $100K for top candidates, while sparse local polling underscores the lack of a clear frontrunner in this safely Republican district. Dynamics remain tight due to overlapping voter appeals in Forsyth and Cherokee counties, with no major endorsements from Trump or Kemp separating the pack. Potential catalysts include pre-May 21 debate performances, last-minute donor surges, or grassroots turnout shifts that could consolidate support and widen spreads.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Rob Adkerson 41%
John Hobbs 41%
William Brown 41%
Lisa Carlquist 40%
Rob Adkerson
41%
John Hobbs
41%
William Brown
41%
Lisa Carlquist
40%
Chris Mora
40%
Tricia Pridemore
39%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
39%
John Cowan
37%
Rob Adkerson 41%
John Hobbs 41%
William Brown 41%
Lisa Carlquist 40%
Rob Adkerson
41%
John Hobbs
41%
William Brown
41%
Lisa Carlquist
40%
Chris Mora
40%
Tricia Pridemore
39%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
39%
John Cowan
37%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Rob Adkerson, John Hobbs, and William Brown deadlocked at 40.5% implied probabilities amid a crowded roster of contenders pitching similar conservative platforms on border security, economic growth, and election integrity. Recent FEC filings show neck-and-neck fundraising totals under $100K for top candidates, while sparse local polling underscores the lack of a clear frontrunner in this safely Republican district. Dynamics remain tight due to overlapping voter appeals in Forsyth and Cherokee counties, with no major endorsements from Trump or Kemp separating the pack. Potential catalysts include pre-May 21 debate performances, last-minute donor surges, or grassroots turnout shifts that could consolidate support and widen spreads.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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