Recent polls from Medián and others show Péter Magyar's TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, with TISZA at 53-58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35-39%, fueling trader consensus on a potential TISZA parliamentary majority in Hungary's proportional representation system ahead of the April 12 election. A massive TISZA rally on March 15 drew half a million supporters, signaling strong momentum for the challenger amid voter fatigue with Fidesz's 16-year rule, despite Fidesz's recent by-election victories. Upcoming campaign events and final polling could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest for a majority government.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Венгрии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Венгрии
ТИСА 66%
Фидес–ХДНП 35%
Моментум <1%
ДК <1%
$48,854,386 Объем
$48,854,386 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
ТИСА
66%
Фидес–ХДНП
35%
Моментум
<1%
ДК
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Партбесед
<1%
Йоббик
<1%
ХДНП
<1%
ТИСА 66%
Фидес–ХДНП 35%
Моментум <1%
ДК <1%
$48,854,386 Объем
$48,854,386 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
ТИСА
$843,607 Объем
66%
Фидес–ХДНП
$1,133,574 Объем
35%
Моментум
$592,080 Объем
<1%
ДК
$4,874,095 Объем
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Объем
<1%
MSZP
$446,332 Объем
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$460,810 Объем
<1%
Партбесед
$7,086,495 Объем
<1%
Йоббик
$14,786,563 Объем
<1%
ХДНП
$4,305,130 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls from Medián and others show Péter Magyar's TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, with TISZA at 53-58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35-39%, fueling trader consensus on a potential TISZA parliamentary majority in Hungary's proportional representation system ahead of the April 12 election. A massive TISZA rally on March 15 drew half a million supporters, signaling strong momentum for the challenger amid voter fatigue with Fidesz's 16-year rule, despite Fidesz's recent by-election victories. Upcoming campaign events and final polling could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest for a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Объем
$48,854,386Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls from Medián and others show Péter Magyar's TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, with TISZA at 53-58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35-39%, fueling trader consensus on a potential TISZA parliamentary majority in Hungary's proportional representation system ahead of the April 12 election. A massive TISZA rally on March 15 drew half a million supporters, signaling strong momentum for the challenger amid voter fatigue with Fidesz's 16-year rule, despite Fidesz's recent by-election victories. Upcoming campaign events and final polling could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest for a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$48,854,386Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from Medián and others show Péter Magyar's TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, with TISZA at 53-58% among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35-39%, fueling trader consensus on a potential TISZA parliamentary majority in Hungary's proportional representation system ahead of the April 12 election. A massive TISZA rally on March 15 drew half a million supporters, signaling strong momentum for the challenger amid voter fatigue with Fidesz's 16-year rule, despite Fidesz's recent by-election victories. Upcoming campaign events and final polling could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest for a majority government.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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