Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability of winning Bulgaria's presidential election, driven by her position as incumbent vice president and consistent first-round poll leads around 20-25% in recent surveys like Sigma2, positioning her strongly for a potential runoff on November 3. Nikolai Denkov (18.5%) and Rosen Zhelyazkov (16.0%) trail as reformist and GERB-backed contenders, respectively, amid a fragmented field of over 40 candidates that boosts runoff odds. Recent developments include steady polling since mid-October and President Radev's implicit support for Iotova, while low support for figures like Delyan Peevski reflects anti-corruption sentiment; first-round voting on October 27 could shift dynamics based on turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Болгарии
Президентские выборы в Болгарии
Илияна Йотова 40%
Николай Денков 19%
Росен Желязков 16%
Атанас Атанасов 7.0%
$32,971 Объем
$32,971 Объем

Илияна Йотова
40%

Николай Денков
19%

Росен Желязков
16%

Атанас Атанасов
7%

Благомир Коцев
7%

Васил Терзиев
6%

Янаки Стоилов
6%

Бойко Борисов
6%

Наталия Киселова
5%

Костадин Костадинов
3%

Делян Пеевский
2%

Росен Плевнелиев
7%

Крум Зарков
1%
Илияна Йотова 40%
Николай Денков 19%
Росен Желязков 16%
Атанас Атанасов 7.0%
$32,971 Объем
$32,971 Объем

Илияна Йотова
40%

Николай Денков
19%

Росен Желязков
16%

Атанас Атанасов
7%

Благомир Коцев
7%

Васил Терзиев
6%

Янаки Стоилов
6%

Бойко Борисов
6%

Наталия Киселова
5%

Костадин Костадинов
3%

Делян Пеевский
2%

Росен Плевнелиев
7%

Крум Зарков
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability of winning Bulgaria's presidential election, driven by her position as incumbent vice president and consistent first-round poll leads around 20-25% in recent surveys like Sigma2, positioning her strongly for a potential runoff on November 3. Nikolai Denkov (18.5%) and Rosen Zhelyazkov (16.0%) trail as reformist and GERB-backed contenders, respectively, amid a fragmented field of over 40 candidates that boosts runoff odds. Recent developments include steady polling since mid-October and President Radev's implicit support for Iotova, while low support for figures like Delyan Peevski reflects anti-corruption sentiment; first-round voting on October 27 could shift dynamics based on turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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