Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Лидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Дельси Родригес 66%
Николас Мадуро 16.8%
Мария Корина Мачадо 13%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,474,023 Объем
$77,474,023 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Дельси Родригес
66%
Николас Мадуро
17%
Мария Корина Мачадо
13%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Дельси Родригес 66%
Николас Мадуро 16.8%
Мария Корина Мачадо 13%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,474,023 Объем
$77,474,023 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Дельси Родригес
$1,251,001 Объем
66%
Николас Мадуро
$878,149 Объем
17%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$838,178 Объем
13%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$418,270 Объем
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$1,243,980 Объем
1%
Дональд Трамп
$686,636 Объем
1%
Нет главы государства
$738,977 Объем
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$0 Объем
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
$862,848 Объем
<1%
Марко Рубио
$651,593 Объем
<1%
Динора Фигера
$2,057,585 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$8,142,189 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$24,625,435 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$2,739,965 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$1,959,274 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$30,379,943 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Объем
$77,474,023Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Объем
$77,474,023Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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