The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the subsequent appointment of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026. Recent steps such as oil sector openings to foreign investment, sanctions relief, and releases of political prisoners have consolidated Rodríguez’s position and the broader chavista network, including figures like Jorge Rodríguez, as the most probable stabilizers. Opposition leader María Corina Machado’s calls for new elections and her planned return remain sidelined by the absence of a scheduled vote or institutional reset, keeping her odds lower. Broader uncertainties around full democratic transition or external pressures continue to support the current consensus pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Лидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Николас Мадуро 64.0%
Дельси Родригес 21%
Мария Корина Мачадо 8%
Хорхе Родригес 1.1%
$88,245,738 Объем
$88,245,738 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Николас Мадуро
64%
Дельси Родригес
21%
Мария Корина Мачадо
8%
Хорхе Родригес
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Николас Мадуро 64.0%
Дельси Родригес 21%
Мария Корина Мачадо 8%
Хорхе Родригес 1.1%
$88,245,738 Объем
$88,245,738 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Николас Мадуро
$1,706,017 Объем
64%
Дельси Родригес
$1,597,374 Объем
21%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$1,056,164 Объем
8%
Хорхе Родригес
$1,003,219 Объем
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$1,682,295 Объем
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$824,370 Объем
1%
Дональд Трамп
$913,165 Объем
1%
Нет главы государства
$1,075,738 Объем
1%
Динора Фигера
$2,339,239 Объем
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$666,331 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$5,164,953 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$3,566,968 Объем
<1%
Марко Рубио
$981,148 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$8,600,737 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$25,052,131 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$32,015,955 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the subsequent appointment of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026. Recent steps such as oil sector openings to foreign investment, sanctions relief, and releases of political prisoners have consolidated Rodríguez’s position and the broader chavista network, including figures like Jorge Rodríguez, as the most probable stabilizers. Opposition leader María Corina Machado’s calls for new elections and her planned return remain sidelined by the absence of a scheduled vote or institutional reset, keeping her odds lower. Broader uncertainties around full democratic transition or external pressures continue to support the current consensus pricing.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Объем
$88,245,738Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the subsequent appointment of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026. Recent steps such as oil sector openings to foreign investment, sanctions relief, and releases of political prisoners have consolidated Rodríguez’s position and the broader chavista network, including figures like Jorge Rodríguez, as the most probable stabilizers. Opposition leader María Corina Machado’s calls for new elections and her planned return remain sidelined by the absence of a scheduled vote or institutional reset, keeping her odds lower. Broader uncertainties around full democratic transition or external pressures continue to support the current consensus pricing.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Объем
$88,245,738Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the subsequent appointment of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026. Recent steps such as oil sector openings to foreign investment, sanctions relief, and releases of political prisoners have consolidated Rodríguez’s position and the broader chavista network, including figures like Jorge Rodríguez, as the most probable stabilizers. Opposition leader María Corina Machado’s calls for new elections and her planned return remain sidelined by the absence of a scheduled vote or institutional reset, keeping her odds lower. Broader uncertainties around full democratic transition or external pressures continue to support the current consensus pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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