Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and subsequent Supreme Court appointment under constitutional articles 233 and 234, drives her 65.5% implied probability as head of state by year-end. Recent consolidation includes her March 18 dismissal of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and overhaul of senior military commanders, signaling control amid U.S.-backed stabilization efforts and threats of indictment against her. Maduro trails at 16.3% despite acting president's affirmations of his legitimacy, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (11.5%) and Edmundo González (1.1%) reflect sidelined roles pending undefined election timelines. Traders weigh transition risks against her chavista continuity in this uncertain post-ouster landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Лидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Дельси Родригес 66%
Николас Мадуро 16.4%
Мария Корина Мачадо 12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,968,795 Объем
$77,968,795 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Дельси Родригес
66%
Николас Мадуро
16%
Мария Корина Мачадо
12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Дельси Родригес 66%
Николас Мадуро 16.4%
Мария Корина Мачадо 12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,968,795 Объем
$77,968,795 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Дельси Родригес
$1,251,082 Объем
66%
Николас Мадуро
$878,891 Объем
16%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$838,238 Объем
12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$420,070 Объем
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$1,245,830 Объем
1%
Дональд Трамп
$686,636 Объем
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$447,996 Объем
1%
Нет главы государства
$739,322 Объем
1%
Хорхе Родригес
$863,221 Объем
<1%
Марко Рубио
$651,977 Объем
<1%
Динора Фигера
$2,057,970 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$24,625,970 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$8,143,180 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$2,746,216 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$1,966,094 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$30,406,109 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and subsequent Supreme Court appointment under constitutional articles 233 and 234, drives her 65.5% implied probability as head of state by year-end. Recent consolidation includes her March 18 dismissal of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and overhaul of senior military commanders, signaling control amid U.S.-backed stabilization efforts and threats of indictment against her. Maduro trails at 16.3% despite acting president's affirmations of his legitimacy, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (11.5%) and Edmundo González (1.1%) reflect sidelined roles pending undefined election timelines. Traders weigh transition risks against her chavista continuity in this uncertain post-ouster landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Объем
$77,968,795Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and subsequent Supreme Court appointment under constitutional articles 233 and 234, drives her 65.5% implied probability as head of state by year-end. Recent consolidation includes her March 18 dismissal of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and overhaul of senior military commanders, signaling control amid U.S.-backed stabilization efforts and threats of indictment against her. Maduro trails at 16.3% despite acting president's affirmations of his legitimacy, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (11.5%) and Edmundo González (1.1%) reflect sidelined roles pending undefined election timelines. Traders weigh transition risks against her chavista continuity in this uncertain post-ouster landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Объем
$77,968,795Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and subsequent Supreme Court appointment under constitutional articles 233 and 234, drives her 65.5% implied probability as head of state by year-end. Recent consolidation includes her March 18 dismissal of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and overhaul of senior military commanders, signaling control amid U.S.-backed stabilization efforts and threats of indictment against her. Maduro trails at 16.3% despite acting president's affirmations of his legitimacy, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (11.5%) and Edmundo González (1.1%) reflect sidelined roles pending undefined election timelines. Traders weigh transition risks against her chavista continuity in this uncertain post-ouster landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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