Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, disqualified from the July 28 presidential election and facing an arrest warrant from Nicolás Maduro's government for alleged incitement during post-election protests, remains in exile abroad after fleeing in late September. Maduro officials have explicitly barred her return, intensifying tensions amid disputed election results where Machado's endorsed candidate, Edmundo González, claims victory based on independent tallies rejected by the regime. No entry attempts have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader focus on potential opposition mobilizations, international sanctions—including recent US Treasury actions against Maduro allies—and Maduro's January 10 inauguration, any of which could prompt a high-risk return amid stalled coalition negotiations and no-confidence pressures on the regime.