President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts amid the ongoing U.S.-Israel military operation against Iran have shaped trader consensus for the March 30-April 5 window, with ceasefire at 53% and Easter Egg at 52% leading closely contested odds reflecting recent de-escalation signals like his March 26 pause on energy strikes and reports of productive U.S.-Iran talks. Holiday sentiment elevates Happy Easter to 46% as Easter falls on April 5, while lower probabilities on phrases like Peace Through Strength, Bully of the Middle East, and Sleepy Joe Biden highlight traders' focus on Iran developments over domestic attacks or shutdown rhetoric. No major scheduled events like speeches or hearings loom, leaving room for reactive commentary on diplomatic progress, economic data, or foreign policy. Odds underscore uncertainty in Trump's posting patterns during this quiet week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
Keir / Starmer
35%
Ceasefire
54%
Epic Fury
41%
Gay
28%
Panican
42%
Palestine / Palestinian
29%
Memphis
32%
Statue
27%
Kuwait
41%
Boeing
41%
Free Tina Peters
43%
Barack Hussein Obama
45%
Sleepy Joe Biden
50%
Peace Through Strength
55%
Bully of the Middle East
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
44%
Democrat Shutdown
47%
Pahlavi
40%
Elon / Musk
41%
Terrorist
45%
Congresswoman
41%
Happy Easter
48%
Easter Egg
53%
Movie Star
42%
$1 Объем
Keir / Starmer
35%
Ceasefire
54%
Epic Fury
41%
Gay
28%
Panican
42%
Palestine / Palestinian
29%
Memphis
32%
Statue
27%
Kuwait
41%
Boeing
41%
Free Tina Peters
43%
Barack Hussein Obama
45%
Sleepy Joe Biden
50%
Peace Through Strength
55%
Bully of the Middle East
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
44%
Democrat Shutdown
47%
Pahlavi
40%
Elon / Musk
41%
Terrorist
45%
Congresswoman
41%
Happy Easter
48%
Easter Egg
53%
Movie Star
42%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts amid the ongoing U.S.-Israel military operation against Iran have shaped trader consensus for the March 30-April 5 window, with ceasefire at 53% and Easter Egg at 52% leading closely contested odds reflecting recent de-escalation signals like his March 26 pause on energy strikes and reports of productive U.S.-Iran talks. Holiday sentiment elevates Happy Easter to 46% as Easter falls on April 5, while lower probabilities on phrases like Peace Through Strength, Bully of the Middle East, and Sleepy Joe Biden highlight traders' focus on Iran developments over domestic attacks or shutdown rhetoric. No major scheduled events like speeches or hearings loom, leaving room for reactive commentary on diplomatic progress, economic data, or foreign policy. Odds underscore uncertainty in Trump's posting patterns during this quiet week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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