Trader consensus favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 57.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure amid escalating scandals at the Department of Labor, including a widening inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of funds for personal trips, a disguised birthday party she denied to Congress, staff threats, and a reported affair with her bodyguard who quit on March 20. Her top aides resigned March 3 after White House pressure over misconduct claims, following her husband's ban from headquarters amid assault allegations. Tulsi Gabbard follows at 17.4% after top counterterrorism aide Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy disputes and her tense Senate testimony defending Trump. Pete Hegseth trails at 8.8% amid reported Defense Department tensions with the president on military matters, while "None before 2027" lags at 7% as no Cabinet exits have occurred in the second term until recent pressure builds. Upcoming IG findings or White House actions could accelerate turnover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛори Чавес-ДеРемер 57%
Тулси Габбард 17.5%
Пит Хегсет 8.9%
Никто до 2027 года 7.1%
$2,533,032 Объем
$2,533,032 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер
57%
Тулси Габбард
18%
Пит Хегсет
9%
Никто до 2027 года
7%
Говард Латник
2%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
2%
Брук Роллинс
2%
Скотт Бессент
1%
Даг Бёргум
1%
Майк Уолтц
1%
Шон Даффи
1%
Пэм Бонди
1%
Марко Рубио
1%
Скотт Тёрнер
1%
Джеймисон Грир
1%
Сьюзи Уайлс
1%
Рассел Т. Воут
1%
Дуг Коллинз
1%
Ли Зелдин
1%
Келли Лёфлер
1%
Джон Рэтклифф
1%
Крис Райт
1%
Роберт Ф. Кеннеди мл.
<1%
Линда Макмахон
<1%
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер 57%
Тулси Габбард 17.5%
Пит Хегсет 8.9%
Никто до 2027 года 7.1%
$2,533,032 Объем
$2,533,032 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер
$73,486 Объем
57%
Тулси Габбард
$727,293 Объем
18%
Пит Хегсет
$676,733 Объем
9%
Никто до 2027 года
$756,785 Объем
7%
Говард Латник
$26,261 Объем
2%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
$7,271 Объем
2%
Брук Роллинс
$6,824 Объем
2%
Скотт Бессент
$4,627 Объем
1%
Даг Бёргум
$6,119 Объем
1%
Майк Уолтц
$4,858 Объем
1%
Шон Даффи
$67,322 Объем
1%
Пэм Бонди
$4,182 Объем
1%
Марко Рубио
$50,625 Объем
1%
Скотт Тёрнер
$5,701 Объем
1%
Джеймисон Грир
$4,901 Объем
1%
Сьюзи Уайлс
$4,916 Объем
1%
Рассел Т. Воут
$4,200 Объем
1%
Дуг Коллинз
$3,581 Объем
1%
Ли Зелдин
$71,083 Объем
1%
Келли Лёфлер
$4,014 Объем
1%
Джон Рэтклифф
$4,201 Объем
1%
Крис Райт
$4,133 Объем
1%
Роберт Ф. Кеннеди мл.
$3,619 Объем
<1%
Линда Макмахон
$10,298 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 57.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure amid escalating scandals at the Department of Labor, including a widening inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of funds for personal trips, a disguised birthday party she denied to Congress, staff threats, and a reported affair with her bodyguard who quit on March 20. Her top aides resigned March 3 after White House pressure over misconduct claims, following her husband's ban from headquarters amid assault allegations. Tulsi Gabbard follows at 17.4% after top counterterrorism aide Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy disputes and her tense Senate testimony defending Trump. Pete Hegseth trails at 8.8% amid reported Defense Department tensions with the president on military matters, while "None before 2027" lags at 7% as no Cabinet exits have occurred in the second term until recent pressure builds. Upcoming IG findings or White House actions could accelerate turnover.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Объем
$2,533,032Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 57.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure amid escalating scandals at the Department of Labor, including a widening inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of funds for personal trips, a disguised birthday party she denied to Congress, staff threats, and a reported affair with her bodyguard who quit on March 20. Her top aides resigned March 3 after White House pressure over misconduct claims, following her husband's ban from headquarters amid assault allegations. Tulsi Gabbard follows at 17.4% after top counterterrorism aide Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy disputes and her tense Senate testimony defending Trump. Pete Hegseth trails at 8.8% amid reported Defense Department tensions with the president on military matters, while "None before 2027" lags at 7% as no Cabinet exits have occurred in the second term until recent pressure builds. Upcoming IG findings or White House actions could accelerate turnover.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Объем
$2,533,032Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 57.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure amid escalating scandals at the Department of Labor, including a widening inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of funds for personal trips, a disguised birthday party she denied to Congress, staff threats, and a reported affair with her bodyguard who quit on March 20. Her top aides resigned March 3 after White House pressure over misconduct claims, following her husband's ban from headquarters amid assault allegations. Tulsi Gabbard follows at 17.4% after top counterterrorism aide Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy disputes and her tense Senate testimony defending Trump. Pete Hegseth trails at 8.8% amid reported Defense Department tensions with the president on military matters, while "None before 2027" lags at 7% as no Cabinet exits have occurred in the second term until recent pressure builds. Upcoming IG findings or White House actions could accelerate turnover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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