Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Trump remaining president beyond March 31, reflecting the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation announcements, or incapacity claims in Congress or the executive branch. With his second term underway since January 2025 and no legislative votes, special counsel actions, or health disclosures altering his status in the past 30 days, traders price in the high barriers to presidential removal—requiring a House majority for impeachment articles and a two-thirds Senate conviction, historically rare for a sitting president. Only 3 days remain until resolution, amplifying certainty absent late-breaking developments like a medical emergency, coup allegations, or snap congressional action.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$12,410,501 Объем
$12,410,501 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$12,410,501 Объем
$12,410,501 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Trump remaining president beyond March 31, reflecting the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation announcements, or incapacity claims in Congress or the executive branch. With his second term underway since January 2025 and no legislative votes, special counsel actions, or health disclosures altering his status in the past 30 days, traders price in the high barriers to presidential removal—requiring a House majority for impeachment articles and a two-thirds Senate conviction, historically rare for a sitting president. Only 3 days remain until resolution, amplifying certainty absent late-breaking developments like a medical emergency, coup allegations, or snap congressional action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
Объем
$12,410,501Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Trump remaining president beyond March 31, reflecting the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation announcements, or incapacity claims in Congress or the executive branch. With his second term underway since January 2025 and no legislative votes, special counsel actions, or health disclosures altering his status in the past 30 days, traders price in the high barriers to presidential removal—requiring a House majority for impeachment articles and a two-thirds Senate conviction, historically rare for a sitting president. Only 3 days remain until resolution, amplifying certainty absent late-breaking developments like a medical emergency, coup allegations, or snap congressional action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$12,410,501Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Trump remaining president beyond March 31, reflecting the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation announcements, or incapacity claims in Congress or the executive branch. With his second term underway since January 2025 and no legislative votes, special counsel actions, or health disclosures altering his status in the past 30 days, traders price in the high barriers to presidential removal—requiring a House majority for impeachment articles and a two-thirds Senate conviction, historically rare for a sitting president. Only 3 days remain until resolution, amplifying certainty absent late-breaking developments like a medical emergency, coup allegations, or snap congressional action.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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