Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-339 tweets for Elon Musk during March 27-April 3, 2026, with 300-319 and 320-339 outcomes tied at 11.5% implied probabilities, reflecting his established pattern of prolific posting amid high-stakes news cycles. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 40-60 daily tweets on X, driven by Tesla updates, xAI advancements, political commentary, and viral engagements that spike volumes—such as over 200 posts in a single day during U.S. election fervor last fall. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential 2026 catalysts like Robotaxi unveilings or regulatory battles, which could push toward higher bins (340+ at 10.5%), while quieter periods might dip into 280-299 (10.5%). Chart trajectory remains volatile, with traders eyeing his real-time activity as the key swing factor ahead of the resolution week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено300-319 12%
320-339 12%
280-299 11%
340-359 11%
$3,963,664 Объем
$3,963,664 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
9%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
9%
380-399
8%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
280-299 11%
340-359 11%
$3,963,664 Объем
$3,963,664 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
9%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
9%
380-399
8%
400-419
4%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-339 tweets for Elon Musk during March 27-April 3, 2026, with 300-319 and 320-339 outcomes tied at 11.5% implied probabilities, reflecting his established pattern of prolific posting amid high-stakes news cycles. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 40-60 daily tweets on X, driven by Tesla updates, xAI advancements, political commentary, and viral engagements that spike volumes—such as over 200 posts in a single day during U.S. election fervor last fall. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential 2026 catalysts like Robotaxi unveilings or regulatory battles, which could push toward higher bins (340+ at 10.5%), while quieter periods might dip into 280-299 (10.5%). Chart trajectory remains volatile, with traders eyeing his real-time activity as the key swing factor ahead of the resolution week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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