The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape trial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the Jessica Mann allegations, has solidified trader consensus around “No Prison Time” at 74.9%. With prosecutors now weighing a potential fourth proceeding by late June and Weinstein, 74 and reportedly battling health issues, already facing an appealed 16-year California sentence plus a pending New York conviction on a lesser count, markets reflect skepticism that additional meaningful incarceration will stick. Ongoing appeals, prior overturned verdicts, and repeated jury deadlocks underscore the competitive legal dynamics, with any shift hinging on prosecutorial decisions and appellate outcomes rather than new charges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХарви Вайнштейн в тюрьме?
Без тюремного срока 74.9%
20-30 лет 8.6%
10–20 лет 5.5%
5-10 лет 4.0%
$1,054,668 Объем
$1,054,668 Объем
Без тюремного срока
75%
Менее 5 лет
4%
5-10 лет
4%
10–20 лет
5%
20-30 лет
9%
Более 30 лет
2%
Без тюремного срока 74.9%
20-30 лет 8.6%
10–20 лет 5.5%
5-10 лет 4.0%
$1,054,668 Объем
$1,054,668 Объем
Без тюремного срока
75%
Менее 5 лет
4%
5-10 лет
4%
10–20 лет
5%
20-30 лет
9%
Более 30 лет
2%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape trial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the Jessica Mann allegations, has solidified trader consensus around “No Prison Time” at 74.9%. With prosecutors now weighing a potential fourth proceeding by late June and Weinstein, 74 and reportedly battling health issues, already facing an appealed 16-year California sentence plus a pending New York conviction on a lesser count, markets reflect skepticism that additional meaningful incarceration will stick. Ongoing appeals, prior overturned verdicts, and repeated jury deadlocks underscore the competitive legal dynamics, with any shift hinging on prosecutorial decisions and appellate outcomes rather than new charges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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