Don Lemon faces federal civil rights charges under the FACE Act for his alleged role in a January 2026 anti-ICE protest that disrupted a Minnesota church service, carrying a maximum penalty of one year in prison for a first offense. Traders assign a 96.1% probability to "No" because Lemon was released on his own recognizance shortly after arrest, entered a not guilty plea in February, and legal observers have highlighted the unprecedented application of the statute to houses of worship along with potential constitutional vulnerabilities. No trial date has advanced significantly, and first-time misdemeanor cases of this type rarely produce prison sentences. Late developments such as a conviction followed by incarceration or an unfavorable plea agreement remain possible but appear remote given the case's procedural posture and defense arguments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
Да
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Don Lemon is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Don Lemon for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Don Lemon is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Don Lemon for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Don Lemon faces federal civil rights charges under the FACE Act for his alleged role in a January 2026 anti-ICE protest that disrupted a Minnesota church service, carrying a maximum penalty of one year in prison for a first offense. Traders assign a 96.1% probability to "No" because Lemon was released on his own recognizance shortly after arrest, entered a not guilty plea in February, and legal observers have highlighted the unprecedented application of the statute to houses of worship along with potential constitutional vulnerabilities. No trial date has advanced significantly, and first-time misdemeanor cases of this type rarely produce prison sentences. Late developments such as a conviction followed by incarceration or an unfavorable plea agreement remain possible but appear remote given the case's procedural posture and defense arguments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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