Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X drives the current market, with recent weekday averages of 35–44 tweets and lower weekend rates pointing toward totals clustering in the 380–500 range or higher for the eight-day window. Traders price 500+ at 40% because his volume has trended upward historically and can spike on business, political, or SpaceX developments, yet the tight grouping of probabilities across 380–499 bins reflects uncertainty around weekend slowdowns and any sudden quiet periods. The closely matched mid-range outcomes highlight how daily fluctuations and event-driven bursts create overlapping implied probabilities, with lower brackets discounted due to his established baseline activity. No major scheduled catalysts appear imminent for late July, leaving the resolution dependent on his typical engagement patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 21 июля - 28 июля 2026?
Илон Маск # tweets 21 июля - 28 июля 2026?
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,039,063 Объем
$4,039,063 Объем
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,039,063 Объем
$4,039,063 Объем
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X drives the current market, with recent weekday averages of 35–44 tweets and lower weekend rates pointing toward totals clustering in the 380–500 range or higher for the eight-day window. Traders price 500+ at 40% because his volume has trended upward historically and can spike on business, political, or SpaceX developments, yet the tight grouping of probabilities across 380–499 bins reflects uncertainty around weekend slowdowns and any sudden quiet periods. The closely matched mid-range outcomes highlight how daily fluctuations and event-driven bursts create overlapping implied probabilities, with lower brackets discounted due to his established baseline activity. No major scheduled catalysts appear imminent for late July, leaving the resolution dependent on his typical engagement patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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