Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has powered her commanding market-implied odds as the 2026 Fields Medal frontrunner, mirroring how breakthrough work historically sways the International Mathematical Union committee. Jacob Tsimerman’s proof of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic Langlands have similarly lifted their positions among traders, reflecting strong critical consensus in geometry, number theory, and related fields. With the awards set for the July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, recent precursor recognition and campaign-style momentum from these results continue to shape sentiment ahead of the final selection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
Кто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
$531,889 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
Хон Ван
84%
Джейкоб Цимерман
65%
Джек Торн
67%
Ю Дэн
44%
Vesselin Dimitrov
52%
Александр Логунов
35%
Сэм Раскин
28%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
22%
Уилл Сауин
30%
Александр Ефимов
9%
Джон Пардон
62%
$531,889 Объем
Хон Ван
$81,524 Объем
84%
Джейкоб Цимерман
$54,310 Объем
65%
Джек Торн
$101,144 Объем
67%
Ю Дэн
$118,056 Объем
44%
Vesselin Dimitrov
$0 Объем
52%
Александр Логунов
$262 Объем
35%
Сэм Раскин
$2,576 Объем
28%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
$84,570 Объем
22%
Уилл Сауин
$4,140 Объем
30%
Александр Ефимов
$576 Объем
9%
Джон Пардон
$84,731 Объем
62%
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has powered her commanding market-implied odds as the 2026 Fields Medal frontrunner, mirroring how breakthrough work historically sways the International Mathematical Union committee. Jacob Tsimerman’s proof of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic Langlands have similarly lifted their positions among traders, reflecting strong critical consensus in geometry, number theory, and related fields. With the awards set for the July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, recent precursor recognition and campaign-style momentum from these results continue to shape sentiment ahead of the final selection.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Объем
$531,889Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has powered her commanding market-implied odds as the 2026 Fields Medal frontrunner, mirroring how breakthrough work historically sways the International Mathematical Union committee. Jacob Tsimerman’s proof of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic Langlands have similarly lifted their positions among traders, reflecting strong critical consensus in geometry, number theory, and related fields. With the awards set for the July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, recent precursor recognition and campaign-style momentum from these results continue to shape sentiment ahead of the final selection.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$531,889Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has powered her commanding market-implied odds as the 2026 Fields Medal frontrunner, mirroring how breakthrough work historically sways the International Mathematical Union committee. Jacob Tsimerman’s proof of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic Langlands have similarly lifted their positions among traders, reflecting strong critical consensus in geometry, number theory, and related fields. With the awards set for the July 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, recent precursor recognition and campaign-style momentum from these results continue to shape sentiment ahead of the final selection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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