Trader sentiment in the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field where Yulia Navalnaya holds a slim edge at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her steadfast anti-Kremlin activism carrying forward Alexei Navalny's democracy mantle amid ongoing Russian repression. Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 9.3% share surged recently from a formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø just days ago, spotlighting Ukraine's resilience against invasion and galvanizing global support. Donald Trump's 7.5% trails due to U.S. congressional nominations like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's and his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, though his polarizing profile caps momentum. With no frontrunner above 11%, the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—favoring human rights advocates over statesmen—keeps dynamics fluid ahead of October's announcement, hinging on fresh geopolitical shifts or surprise shortlists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЮлия Навальная 11%
Владимир Зеленский 9.3%
Дональд Трамп 8%
Папа Лев XIV 4.0%
$11,606,726 Объем
$11,606,726 Объем
Юлия Навальная
11%
Владимир Зеленский
9%
Дональд Трамп
8%
Папа Лев XIV
4%
Международный суд ООН
4%
UNRWA
3%
Грета Тунберг
3%
Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани
3%
Нарендра Моди
3%
Чарли Кирк
2%
Си Цзиньпин
2%
Антониу Гутеррес
2%
Илон Маск
2%
Халед Машаль
1%
Джулиан Ассанж
1%
Мохаммед бин Салман
1%
Ахмед аль-Шараа
1%
Владимир Путин
1%
Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган
1%
Беньямин Нетаньяху
1%
Юлия Навальная 11%
Владимир Зеленский 9.3%
Дональд Трамп 8%
Папа Лев XIV 4.0%
$11,606,726 Объем
$11,606,726 Объем
Юлия Навальная
11%
Владимир Зеленский
9%
Дональд Трамп
8%
Папа Лев XIV
4%
Международный суд ООН
4%
UNRWA
3%
Грета Тунберг
3%
Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани
3%
Нарендра Моди
3%
Чарли Кирк
2%
Си Цзиньпин
2%
Антониу Гутеррес
2%
Илон Маск
2%
Халед Машаль
1%
Джулиан Ассанж
1%
Мохаммед бин Салман
1%
Ахмед аль-Шараа
1%
Владимир Путин
1%
Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган
1%
Беньямин Нетаньяху
1%
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Открытие рынка: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment in the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field where Yulia Navalnaya holds a slim edge at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her steadfast anti-Kremlin activism carrying forward Alexei Navalny's democracy mantle amid ongoing Russian repression. Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 9.3% share surged recently from a formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø just days ago, spotlighting Ukraine's resilience against invasion and galvanizing global support. Donald Trump's 7.5% trails due to U.S. congressional nominations like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's and his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, though his polarizing profile caps momentum. With no frontrunner above 11%, the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—favoring human rights advocates over statesmen—keeps dynamics fluid ahead of October's announcement, hinging on fresh geopolitical shifts or surprise shortlists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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