Aaron Judge leads the 2026 AL MVP market at 42.5% implied probability due to his early-season power surge, including a league-leading or near-top share of home runs, runs scored, and bWAR among AL position players through late May, building on his status as a two-time defending winner. Bobby Witt Jr. sits at 22.5% on the strength of his consistent elite defense, stolen-base production, and multi-year track record of high WAR totals, even as the Royals post a sub-.500 record. Yordan Alvarez holds 9.0% after posting one of the AL's highest OPS marks in the opening weeks. Other contenders like Jose Ramirez, Ben Rice, and Nick Kurtz trail further back, reflecting limited early momentum relative to the top tier. Trader consensus prices these probabilities based on current form, historical MVP voting patterns, and the extended regular-season sample ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАарон Джадж 43%
Бобби Уитт-младший 22%
Йордан Альварес 9.0%
Хосе Рамирес 4.4%
$106,714 Объем
$106,714 Объем
Аарон Джадж
43%
Бобби Уитт-младший
22%
Йордан Альварес
9%
Хосе Рамирес
4%
Бен Райс
4%
Ник Кёрц
3%
Кэл Рэйли
2%
Кори Сигер
2%
Гуннар Хендерсон
2%
Майк Траут
1%
Владимир Герреро-младший
1%
Хулио Родригес
1%
Аарон Джадж 43%
Бобби Уитт-младший 22%
Йордан Альварес 9.0%
Хосе Рамирес 4.4%
$106,714 Объем
$106,714 Объем
Аарон Джадж
43%
Бобби Уитт-младший
22%
Йордан Альварес
9%
Хосе Рамирес
4%
Бен Райс
4%
Ник Кёрц
3%
Кэл Рэйли
2%
Кори Сигер
2%
Гуннар Хендерсон
2%
Майк Траут
1%
Владимир Герреро-младший
1%
Хулио Родригес
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads the 2026 AL MVP market at 42.5% implied probability due to his early-season power surge, including a league-leading or near-top share of home runs, runs scored, and bWAR among AL position players through late May, building on his status as a two-time defending winner. Bobby Witt Jr. sits at 22.5% on the strength of his consistent elite defense, stolen-base production, and multi-year track record of high WAR totals, even as the Royals post a sub-.500 record. Yordan Alvarez holds 9.0% after posting one of the AL's highest OPS marks in the opening weeks. Other contenders like Jose Ramirez, Ben Rice, and Nick Kurtz trail further back, reflecting limited early momentum relative to the top tier. Trader consensus prices these probabilities based on current form, historical MVP voting patterns, and the extended regular-season sample ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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