Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 markets heavily favors Finland at 82% implied probability for a top finish, propelled by the recent conclusion of national selections that unveiled "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen—a high-energy bilingual entry with strong jury appeal and staging buzz echoing Finland's past successes like 2023's Käärijä. Israel, Denmark, Greece, and France trail closely at 58-59%, buoyed by powerhouse vocals and Nordic/Baltic televote blocs, despite Italy leading Spotify streams with "Per sempre sì." Historical voting patterns reward melodic pop with broad appeal, but geopolitics could sway blocs. Watch for semi-final running order draw and first rehearsals in early May ahead of the Vienna final on May 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$39,390 Объем

Finland
82%

Denmark
60%

Israel
59%

Greece
57%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
40%

Romania
34%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
30%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
15%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
14%

Croatia
13%

Norway
13%

Germany
12%

Bulgaria
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Georgia
10%

Albania
10%

Montenegro
10%

Poland
9%

Switzerland
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

Austria
9%

San Marino
8%

Latvia
8%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
8%

Estonia
8%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%
$39,390 Объем

Finland
82%

Denmark
60%

Israel
59%

Greece
57%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
40%

Romania
34%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
30%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
15%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
14%

Croatia
13%

Norway
13%

Germany
12%

Bulgaria
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Georgia
10%

Albania
10%

Montenegro
10%

Poland
9%

Switzerland
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

Austria
9%

San Marino
8%

Latvia
8%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
8%

Estonia
8%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 markets heavily favors Finland at 82% implied probability for a top finish, propelled by the recent conclusion of national selections that unveiled "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen—a high-energy bilingual entry with strong jury appeal and staging buzz echoing Finland's past successes like 2023's Käärijä. Israel, Denmark, Greece, and France trail closely at 58-59%, buoyed by powerhouse vocals and Nordic/Baltic televote blocs, despite Italy leading Spotify streams with "Per sempre sì." Historical voting patterns reward melodic pop with broad appeal, but geopolitics could sway blocs. Watch for semi-final running order draw and first rehearsals in early May ahead of the Vienna final on May 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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