Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" at 36.2% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by their commanding UMK national final victory in late March and surging early streams (third on Spotify globally as of March 31), alongside bookmakers' consensus on its jury-televote balance echoing Nordic successes like Sweden's past wins. France's Monroe climbed to 13.5% after unveiling operatic ballad "Regarde!" on March 6, fueling hat-trick speculation post-recent strong French showings. Denmark (10.7%) benefits from robust Dansk Melodi Grand Prix buzz, while Australia (6.7%) leverages Delta Goodrem's star power in "Eclipse" and Greece (6.3%) gains from Akylas's "Ferto" hype. With Vienna semis set for May 12-14, preview reactions and rehearsal clips could spark shifts in this fluid trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 36.3%
Франция 13.5%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 6.7%
$55,658,223 Объем
$55,658,223 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 36.3%
Франция 13.5%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 6.7%
$55,658,223 Объем
$55,658,223 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" at 36.2% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by their commanding UMK national final victory in late March and surging early streams (third on Spotify globally as of March 31), alongside bookmakers' consensus on its jury-televote balance echoing Nordic successes like Sweden's past wins. France's Monroe climbed to 13.5% after unveiling operatic ballad "Regarde!" on March 6, fueling hat-trick speculation post-recent strong French showings. Denmark (10.7%) benefits from robust Dansk Melodi Grand Prix buzz, while Australia (6.7%) leverages Delta Goodrem's star power in "Eclipse" and Greece (6.3%) gains from Akylas's "Ferto" hype. With Vienna semis set for May 12-14, preview reactions and rehearsal clips could spark shifts in this fluid trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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