Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands trader consensus as the frontrunner at 35.9% implied probability, propelled by its UMK national final triumph on February 28, where it secured top jury scores alongside explosive televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France surges to 13.2% following Monroe's electrifying first live performance this week, drawing heavy wagers and echoing operatic momentum from recent winners. Denmark clings to 10.7% on robust national selection buzz, while Australia (6.5%) benefits from Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" hype and Greece (6.3%) climbs via fan polls. With Vienna rehearsals underway ahead of the May 12-16 contest, staging refinements and semi-final draws loom as key catalysts for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.9%
Франция 13.2%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 6.5%
$55,541,084 Объем
$55,541,084 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 35.9%
Франция 13.2%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 6.5%
$55,541,084 Объем
$55,541,084 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands trader consensus as the frontrunner at 35.9% implied probability, propelled by its UMK national final triumph on February 28, where it secured top jury scores alongside explosive televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France surges to 13.2% following Monroe's electrifying first live performance this week, drawing heavy wagers and echoing operatic momentum from recent winners. Denmark clings to 10.7% on robust national selection buzz, while Australia (6.5%) benefits from Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" hype and Greece (6.3%) climbs via fan polls. With Vienna rehearsals underway ahead of the May 12-16 contest, staging refinements and semi-final draws loom as key catalysts for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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