Trader consensus on Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units tilts toward the 150k-175k bin at 28.5% implied probability, with razor-thin margins across lower strikes reflecting robust day-one streaming (33.2 million global Spotify streams, third-biggest rap debut of 2026 despite a delayed Friday drop) offset by modest pure sales forecasts around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double trackers. Lingering controversies from Ye's Vultures era (under 150k debuts) and limited mainstream promo dampen upside, while 100k+ pre-sold physicals and features like Travis Scott fuel contention for 200k-250k outcomes. Key swings hinge on mid-week streaming tallies and final scans ahead of Billboard 200 lockout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПродажи альбомов Kanye West «BULLY» за первую неделю? (Нижние удары)
Продажи альбомов Kanye West «BULLY» за первую неделю? (Нижние удары)
150k-175k 29%
275-300 тыс. 28%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс. 24%
Меньше 150 тыс. 21%
Меньше 150 тыс.
21%
150k-175k
29%
175k-200k
21%
200k-225k
20%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс.
24%
250 тыс.-275 тыс.
15%
275-300 тыс.
17%
300k+
10%
150k-175k 29%
275-300 тыс. 28%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс. 24%
Меньше 150 тыс. 21%
Меньше 150 тыс.
21%
150k-175k
29%
175k-200k
21%
200k-225k
20%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс.
24%
250 тыс.-275 тыс.
15%
275-300 тыс.
17%
300k+
10%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units tilts toward the 150k-175k bin at 28.5% implied probability, with razor-thin margins across lower strikes reflecting robust day-one streaming (33.2 million global Spotify streams, third-biggest rap debut of 2026 despite a delayed Friday drop) offset by modest pure sales forecasts around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double trackers. Lingering controversies from Ye's Vultures era (under 150k debuts) and limited mainstream promo dampen upside, while 100k+ pre-sold physicals and features like Travis Scott fuel contention for 200k-250k outcomes. Key swings hinge on mid-week streaming tallies and final scans ahead of Billboard 200 lockout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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