Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume at a moderated 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) over April 2-4, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28%), reflecting his recent daily average of 35 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (209 total in six days per XTracker data synced April 2). This competitive split stems from a post-legal slowdown following the March 21 jury's $2.6 billion verdict on Twitter fraud claims, curbing his historical 40-45 daily pace amid political commentary and business updates. Key differentiators include early April 2 engagement on California fraud and AI visuals, versus potential weekend dip on April 4 (Saturday); real-time X activity and news catalysts could swiftly shift the deadlock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 2 апреля - 4 апреля 2026?
Илон Маск # tweets 2 апреля - 4 апреля 2026?
65–89 37%
40-64 28%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$283,202 Объем
$283,202 Объем
<40
5%
40-64
28%
65–89
37%
90-114
22%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190–214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65–89 37%
40-64 28%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$283,202 Объем
$283,202 Объем
<40
5%
40-64
28%
65–89
37%
90-114
22%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190–214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume at a moderated 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) over April 2-4, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28%), reflecting his recent daily average of 35 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (209 total in six days per XTracker data synced April 2). This competitive split stems from a post-legal slowdown following the March 21 jury's $2.6 billion verdict on Twitter fraud claims, curbing his historical 40-45 daily pace amid political commentary and business updates. Key differentiators include early April 2 engagement on California fraud and AI visuals, versus potential weekend dip on April 4 (Saturday); real-time X activity and news catalysts could swiftly shift the deadlock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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