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Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?

Market icon

Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?

100-119 34%

60-79 23%

80-99 12%

120-139 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

100-119 34%

60-79 23%

80-99 12%

120-139 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$151 Объем

1%

20-39

$143 Объем

1%

40–59

$24 Объем

6%

60-79

$10 Объем

23%

80-99

$10 Объем

20%

100-119

$10 Объем

34%

120-139

$10 Объем

19%

140–159

$10 Объем

21%

160-179

$15 Объем

21%

180-199

$20 Объем

12%

200+

$91 Объем

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Ted Cruz will post 100-119 times on X from April 3-10, 2026, atop bins at 60-79 and 140-159, reflecting his status as the Senate's most active poster—over 9,000 posts in 2024 per Quorum analysis, averaging 20-25 daily amid commentary on immigration enforcement, cultural debates, and GOP priorities. Recent days show sustained volume, with multiple March 31 posts critiquing migrant crime incidents and federal judge rulings blocking Trump-era border policy revocations, sustaining baseline expectations. Differentiation among leaders hinges on news catalysts like Senate hearings or shutdown talks boosting output, versus potential lulls from Easter (April 5) or travel; spikes above 160 could stem from high-engagement events such as CPAC follow-ups or policy announcements, while sub-100 risks quieter periods absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$494
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Ted Cruz will post 100-119 times on X from April 3-10, 2026, atop bins at 60-79 and 140-159, reflecting his status as the Senate's most active poster—over 9,000 posts in 2024 per Quorum analysis, averaging 20-25 daily amid commentary on immigration enforcement, cultural debates, and GOP priorities. Recent days show sustained volume, with multiple March 31 posts critiquing migrant crime incidents and federal judge rulings blocking Trump-era border policy revocations, sustaining baseline expectations. Differentiation among leaders hinges on news catalysts like Senate hearings or shutdown talks boosting output, versus potential lulls from Easter (April 5) or travel; spikes above 160 could stem from high-engagement events such as CPAC follow-ups or policy announcements, while sub-100 risks quieter periods absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$494
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «100-119» с 34%, за ним следует «60-79» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?» — «100-119» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «60-79» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Тед Круз # посты 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.