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Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

Market icon

Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

апр. 1

апр. 1

76% вероятность
Polymarket

$704 Объем

76% вероятность
Polymarket

$704 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".FAA daily air traffic report highlighted low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms potentially disrupting flights at major hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI), Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), Houston (IAH, HOU), and wind at Las Vegas (LAS), driving elevated cancellation risks on April 1. FlightAware recorded 441 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States that day—exceeding the 250 threshold—with Chicago O'Hare (ORD) alone logging 170 amid these conditions. Trader consensus implies 76% probability for Yes, incorporating real-time data from top carriers like SkyWest and Envoy Air, though final FlightAware tally could adjust slightly as reporting completes. No major agency actions like ground stops were issued.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$704
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".FAA daily air traffic report highlighted low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms potentially disrupting flights at major hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI), Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), Houston (IAH, HOU), and wind at Las Vegas (LAS), driving elevated cancellation risks on April 1. FlightAware recorded 441 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States that day—exceeding the 250 threshold—with Chicago O'Hare (ORD) alone logging 170 amid these conditions. Trader consensus implies 76% probability for Yes, incorporating real-time data from top carriers like SkyWest and Envoy Air, though final FlightAware tally could adjust slightly as reporting completes. No major agency actions like ground stops were issued.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$704
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 250 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 76% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 76¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 76%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?» составляет 76% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 76%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.