Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 tempered National Rally momentum, with centrists cooperating to limit far-right gains and boost figures like former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe, keeping the 2027 French presidential race closely contested between Jordan Bardella (24.5%) and Philippe (20.5%) per trader consensus. Latest polls, such as Harris Interactive's March 22 survey, confirm Bardella's first-round lead at 35%, with Philippe at 14% amid a fragmented field—left divided under Jean-Luc Mélenchon (9.5%), right split post-2024 hung parliament. Two-round dynamics favor anti-extremes alliances; separation hinges on Philippe's local results, Le Pen's July appeal verdict, Senate elections in September, and emerging runoff polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующие президентские выборы во Франции
Следующие президентские выборы во Франции
Джордан Барделла 25%
Эдуард Филипп 21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 10%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$21,119,152 Объем
$21,119,152 Объем

Джордан Барделла
25%

Эдуард Филипп
21%

Жан-Люк Меленшон
10%

Марин Ле Пен
8%

Доминик де Вильпен
5%

Рафаэль Глюкскман
4%

Бруно Ретайльо
4%

Франсуа Олланд
3%

Сара Кнафо
3%

Давид Лиснар
3%

Габриэль Аттал
3%

Себастьян Лекорню
2%

Жан Кастекс
2%

Николя Дюпон-Аньан
1%

Жеральд Дарманин
1%

Мануэль Бомпар
1%

Эрик Земур
1%

Фабиен Руссель
1%

Хуан Бранко
1%

Бернар Казнев
1%

Франсуа Руффин
1%

Марин Тонделье
1%

Лоран Вокье
<1%

Франсуа Асселено
<1%

Валери Пекресс
<1%

Элизабет Борн
<1%

Ксавьер Бертран
<1%

Оливье Форе
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Франсуа Байру
<1%

Яэль Браун-Пиве
<1%

Клеманс Гетте
<1%

Сеголен Рояль
<1%

Кароль Делга
<1%

Мишель Барнье
<1%

Матильда Панот
<1%
Джордан Барделла 25%
Эдуард Филипп 21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 10%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$21,119,152 Объем
$21,119,152 Объем

Джордан Барделла
25%

Эдуард Филипп
21%

Жан-Люк Меленшон
10%

Марин Ле Пен
8%

Доминик де Вильпен
5%

Рафаэль Глюкскман
4%

Бруно Ретайльо
4%

Франсуа Олланд
3%

Сара Кнафо
3%

Давид Лиснар
3%

Габриэль Аттал
3%

Себастьян Лекорню
2%

Жан Кастекс
2%

Николя Дюпон-Аньан
1%

Жеральд Дарманин
1%

Мануэль Бомпар
1%

Эрик Земур
1%

Фабиен Руссель
1%

Хуан Бранко
1%

Бернар Казнев
1%

Франсуа Руффин
1%

Марин Тонделье
1%

Лоран Вокье
<1%

Франсуа Асселено
<1%

Валери Пекресс
<1%

Элизабет Борн
<1%

Ксавьер Бертран
<1%

Оливье Форе
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Франсуа Байру
<1%

Яэль Браун-Пиве
<1%

Клеманс Гетте
<1%

Сеголен Рояль
<1%

Кароль Делга
<1%

Мишель Барнье
<1%

Матильда Панот
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 tempered National Rally momentum, with centrists cooperating to limit far-right gains and boost figures like former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe, keeping the 2027 French presidential race closely contested between Jordan Bardella (24.5%) and Philippe (20.5%) per trader consensus. Latest polls, such as Harris Interactive's March 22 survey, confirm Bardella's first-round lead at 35%, with Philippe at 14% amid a fragmented field—left divided under Jean-Luc Mélenchon (9.5%), right split post-2024 hung parliament. Two-round dynamics favor anti-extremes alliances; separation hinges on Philippe's local results, Le Pen's July appeal verdict, Senate elections in September, and emerging runoff polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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