Polymarket traders price Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 20.5% to win France's 2027 presidential election, mirroring recent polls like Elabe's December survey where Bardella leads first-round voting intentions 34%-27% amid unrelenting political deadlock. Since President Macron's June snap election yielded a hung National Assembly, Michel Barnier's government collapsed under a no-confidence vote, and François Bayrou's minority administration now faces repeated challenges from left-wing coalitions and National Rally abstentions. This instability amplifies right-wing appeal—Bardella as RN president capitalizing on voter frustration, Philippe as former PM drawing centrist support—while fragmenting the left and undecided Macronist bloc keeps the top contenders neck-and-neck. Breakouts could stem from Bayrou's tenure viability, Marine Le Pen's embezzlement trial verdict, party primaries, or economic pressures ahead of the fixed 2027 timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующие президентские выборы во Франции
Следующие президентские выборы во Франции
Джордан Барделла 25%
Эдуард Филипп 21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 10%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$20,915,088 Объем
$20,915,088 Объем
Джордан Барделла
25%
Эдуард Филипп
21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон
10%
Марин Ле Пен
8%
Доминик де Вильпен
5%
Рафаэль Глюкскман
4%
Бруно Ретайльо
4%
Франсуа Олланд
3%
Сара Кнафо
3%
Давид Лиснар
3%
Габриэль Аттал
3%
Себастьян Лекорню
2%
Жан Кастекс
2%
Николя Дюпон-Аньан
1%
Жеральд Дарманин
1%
Фабиен Руссель
1%
Эрик Земур
1%
Хуан Бранко
1%
Бернар Казнев
1%
Франсуа Руффин
1%
Марин Тонделье
1%
Мануэль Бомпар
<1%
Лоран Вокье
<1%
Франсуа Асселено
<1%
Валери Пекресс
<1%
Элизабет Борн
<1%
Ксавьер Бертран
<1%
Оливье Форе
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Франсуа Байру
<1%
Яэль Браун-Пиве
<1%
Клеманс Гетте
<1%
Сеголен Рояль
<1%
Кароль Делга
<1%
Мишель Барнье
<1%
Матильда Панот
<1%
Джордан Барделла 25%
Эдуард Филипп 21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 10%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$20,915,088 Объем
$20,915,088 Объем
Джордан Барделла
25%
Эдуард Филипп
21%
Жан-Люк Меленшон
10%
Марин Ле Пен
8%
Доминик де Вильпен
5%
Рафаэль Глюкскман
4%
Бруно Ретайльо
4%
Франсуа Олланд
3%
Сара Кнафо
3%
Давид Лиснар
3%
Габриэль Аттал
3%
Себастьян Лекорню
2%
Жан Кастекс
2%
Николя Дюпон-Аньан
1%
Жеральд Дарманин
1%
Фабиен Руссель
1%
Эрик Земур
1%
Хуан Бранко
1%
Бернар Казнев
1%
Франсуа Руффин
1%
Марин Тонделье
1%
Мануэль Бомпар
<1%
Лоран Вокье
<1%
Франсуа Асселено
<1%
Валери Пекресс
<1%
Элизабет Борн
<1%
Ксавьер Бертран
<1%
Оливье Форе
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Франсуа Байру
<1%
Яэль Браун-Пиве
<1%
Клеманс Гетте
<1%
Сеголен Рояль
<1%
Кароль Делга
<1%
Мишель Барнье
<1%
Матильда Панот
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and Édouard Philippe at 20.5% to win France's 2027 presidential election, mirroring recent polls like Elabe's December survey where Bardella leads first-round voting intentions 34%-27% amid unrelenting political deadlock. Since President Macron's June snap election yielded a hung National Assembly, Michel Barnier's government collapsed under a no-confidence vote, and François Bayrou's minority administration now faces repeated challenges from left-wing coalitions and National Rally abstentions. This instability amplifies right-wing appeal—Bardella as RN president capitalizing on voter frustration, Philippe as former PM drawing centrist support—while fragmenting the left and undecided Macronist bloc keeps the top contenders neck-and-neck. Breakouts could stem from Bayrou's tenure viability, Marine Le Pen's embezzlement trial verdict, party primaries, or economic pressures ahead of the fixed 2027 timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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