Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links, conducted mid-to-late March 2026, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 27-31% among decided voters, projecting 85-95 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This trader consensus reflects PB's surge as a new anti-corruption coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, capitalizing on voter frustration from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and failed coalitions—the eighth snap election in five years. The race remains tight due to 15-20% undecideds, expected low turnout from election fatigue, and a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 20-22%, PP-DB at 12%, and DPS at 10%; final TV debates and mobilization efforts before April 19 could shift 5-10 seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено90-94 34%
85-89 10%
80-84 9%
75-79 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<75
7%
75-79
9%
80-84
9%
85-89
26%
90-94
34%
95+
22%
90-94 34%
85-89 10%
80-84 9%
75-79 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<75
$290 Объем
7%
75-79
$388 Объем
9%
80-84
$21 Объем
9%
85-89
$18 Объем
26%
90-94
$785 Объем
34%
95+
$66 Объем
22%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links, conducted mid-to-late March 2026, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 27-31% among decided voters, projecting 85-95 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This trader consensus reflects PB's surge as a new anti-corruption coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, capitalizing on voter frustration from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and failed coalitions—the eighth snap election in five years. The race remains tight due to 15-20% undecideds, expected low turnout from election fatigue, and a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 20-22%, PP-DB at 12%, and DPS at 10%; final TV debates and mobilization efforts before April 19 could shift 5-10 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Объем
$1,568Дата окончания
Apr 19, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links, conducted mid-to-late March 2026, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 27-31% among decided voters, projecting 85-95 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This trader consensus reflects PB's surge as a new anti-corruption coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, capitalizing on voter frustration from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and failed coalitions—the eighth snap election in five years. The race remains tight due to 15-20% undecideds, expected low turnout from election fatigue, and a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 20-22%, PP-DB at 12%, and DPS at 10%; final TV debates and mobilization efforts before April 19 could shift 5-10 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Объем
$1,568Дата окончания
Apr 19, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links, conducted mid-to-late March 2026, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 27-31% among decided voters, projecting 85-95 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This trader consensus reflects PB's surge as a new anti-corruption coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, capitalizing on voter frustration from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and failed coalitions—the eighth snap election in five years. The race remains tight due to 15-20% undecideds, expected low turnout from election fatigue, and a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 20-22%, PP-DB at 12%, and DPS at 10%; final TV debates and mobilization efforts before April 19 could shift 5-10 seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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