Former President Rumen Radev's overwhelming 94.4% implied probability as next prime minister stems from his Progressive Bulgaria alliance's dominant lead in polls ahead of today's snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid mass anti-corruption protests. Having stepped down from the presidency in January 2026 to launch this anti-oligarch platform, Radev's party is positioned to claim the largest seat share in the 240-seat National Assembly, securing the first exploratory mandate from interim President Iliana Yotova to form a coalition government and nominate him as prime minister. Potential challenges include an electoral upset favoring rivals like GERB's Boyko Borissov or Revival's Kostadin Kostadinov, coalition negotiation failures amid fragmentation, or rival blocs preempting a majority.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Премьер-министр Болгарии
Следующий Премьер-министр Болгарии
Румен Радев 94.4%
Костадин Костадинов 1.4%
Андрей Гюров 1.1%
Асен Василев <1%
$234,984 Объем
$234,984 Объем

Румен Радев
94%

Костадин Костадинов
1%

Андрей Гюров
1%

Асен Василев
1%

Крум Зарков
1%

Делян Пеевски
<1%

Бойко Борисов
<1%

Росен Желязков
<1%

Димитар Главчев
<1%

Николай Денков
<1%
Румен Радев 94.4%
Костадин Костадинов 1.4%
Андрей Гюров 1.1%
Асен Василев <1%
$234,984 Объем
$234,984 Объем

Румен Радев
94%

Костадин Костадинов
1%

Андрей Гюров
1%

Асен Василев
1%

Крум Зарков
1%

Делян Пеевски
<1%

Бойко Борисов
<1%

Росен Желязков
<1%

Димитар Главчев
<1%

Николай Денков
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former President Rumen Radev's overwhelming 94.4% implied probability as next prime minister stems from his Progressive Bulgaria alliance's dominant lead in polls ahead of today's snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid mass anti-corruption protests. Having stepped down from the presidency in January 2026 to launch this anti-oligarch platform, Radev's party is positioned to claim the largest seat share in the 240-seat National Assembly, securing the first exploratory mandate from interim President Iliana Yotova to form a coalition government and nominate him as prime minister. Potential challenges include an electoral upset favoring rivals like GERB's Boyko Borissov or Revival's Kostadin Kostadinov, coalition negotiation failures amid fragmentation, or rival blocs preempting a majority.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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