Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40–59 <1%
$12,227,325 Объем
$12,227,325 Объем
<20
Нет
20-39
Нет
40–59
Нет
60-79
Нет
80-99
Нет
100-119
Нет
120-139
Нет
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200-219
Нет
220-239
Да
240-259
Нет
260-279
Нет
280-299
Нет
300-319
Нет
320-339
Нет
340-359
Нет
360-379
Нет
380-399
Нет
400-419
Нет
420–439
Нет
440-459
Нет
460-479
Нет
480–499
Нет
500-519
Нет
520-539
Нет
540-559
Нет
560-579
Нет
580+
Нет
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40–59 <1%
$12,227,325 Объем
$12,227,325 Объем
<20
Нет
20-39
Нет
40–59
Нет
60-79
Нет
80-99
Нет
100-119
Нет
120-139
Нет
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200-219
Нет
220-239
Да
240-259
Нет
260-279
Нет
280-299
Нет
300-319
Нет
320-339
Нет
340-359
Нет
360-379
Нет
380-399
Нет
400-419
Нет
420–439
Нет
440-459
Нет
460-479
Нет
480–499
Нет
500-519
Нет
520-539
Нет
540-559
Нет
560-579
Нет
580+
Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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