Tensions between Iran, Israel, and the US persist after Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military facilities retaliated against Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, marking the latest direct exchanges with no subsequent escalations reported. Proxy conflicts continue via Hezbollah in Lebanon, where Israeli ground operations and airstrikes have intensified, and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea backed by Iran, prompting US-led naval responses. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled amid Hamas-Israel hostilities, while incoming US President-elect Trump's foreign policy signals add uncertainty to sanctions and deterrence strategies. Key traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, nuclear negotiations, or de-escalation breakthroughs, with no ceasefire or formal end in sight before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКонфликт между Ираном и Израилем/США закончится...?
Конфликт между Ираном и Израилем/США закончится...?
$7,365,817 Объем
31 марта
8%
15 апреля
27%
7 апреля
18%
30 апреля
36%
15 мая
49%
30 июня
67%
31 декабря
84%
$7,365,817 Объем
31 марта
8%
15 апреля
27%
7 апреля
18%
30 апреля
36%
15 мая
49%
30 июня
67%
31 декабря
84%
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between Iran, Israel, and the US persist after Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military facilities retaliated against Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, marking the latest direct exchanges with no subsequent escalations reported. Proxy conflicts continue via Hezbollah in Lebanon, where Israeli ground operations and airstrikes have intensified, and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea backed by Iran, prompting US-led naval responses. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled amid Hamas-Israel hostilities, while incoming US President-elect Trump's foreign policy signals add uncertainty to sanctions and deterrence strategies. Key traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, nuclear negotiations, or de-escalation breakthroughs, with no ceasefire or formal end in sight before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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