$1,470,320 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Саудовская Аравия
54%
ОАЭ
42%
Катар
37%
Any E.U. Country
22%
Бахрейн
21%
Великобритания
19%
Франция
18%
Кувейт
12%
Иордания
10%
Оман
9%
Германия
7%
Турция
6%
Канада
3%
$1,470,320 Объем
Саудовская Аравия
$301,336 Объем
54%
ОАЭ
$176,017 Объем
42%
Катар
$99,581 Объем
37%
Any E.U. Country
$21,057 Объем
22%
Бахрейн
$31,311 Объем
21%
Великобритания
$250,335 Объем
19%
Франция
$165,403 Объем
18%
Кувейт
$2,198 Объем
12%
Иордания
$64,016 Объем
10%
Оман
$5,592 Объем
9%
Германия
$284,073 Объем
7%
Турция
$42,177 Объем
6%
Канада
$27,223 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Дата создания: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Объем
$1,470,320Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Дата создания
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Frequently Asked Questions