Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election stands as the central driver of trader positioning on Netanyahu's tenure, with recent polls showing his right-wing coalition bloc at 51–55 seats, short of the 61-seat majority threshold in the 120-member parliament. Opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot have edged ahead in projections, though they too face coalition hurdles without support from Arab-majority lists. Netanyahu continues to campaign on security policy and judicial matters while facing an ongoing corruption trial and public protests over the October 2023 attacks. Post-election negotiations could extend weeks or months, potentially yielding a unity government, minority arrangement, or fresh vote, with outcomes hinging on surplus-vote pacts, Arab party roles, and presidential mediation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNetanyahu meets Trump amid widening gaps on Iran war management
December 31 dips to 40%4%
The meeting between Netanyahu and Trump highlighted growing differences on handling the Iran conflict, underscoring diplomatic strains that influenced market perceptions of Netanyahu's political durability.




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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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