Iran maintains firm control over Hengam Island, one of seven strategic islands forming its defensive line along the Strait of Hormuz. Recent US-Iran tensions, including the conflict that began February 28, 2026, prompted American strikes on nearby positions and islands such as Qeshm, Larak, and Greater Tunb, alongside Iranian closures of the strait and new maritime control zones. IRGC statements in early September 2026 reaffirmed full deployment and combat readiness across southern islands, including Hengam, with no verified change in sovereignty. The island's location supports naval operations and shipping oversight, while residents have faced displacement from strikes. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments tied to Hormuz access could influence control dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОстров Хенгам больше не находится под контролем Ирана...?
Остров Хенгам больше не находится под контролем Ирана...?
$208,407 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
2%
$208,407 Объем
30 сентября
$2,567 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Hengam Island, one of seven strategic islands forming its defensive line along the Strait of Hormuz. Recent US-Iran tensions, including the conflict that began February 28, 2026, prompted American strikes on nearby positions and islands such as Qeshm, Larak, and Greater Tunb, alongside Iranian closures of the strait and new maritime control zones. IRGC statements in early September 2026 reaffirmed full deployment and combat readiness across southern islands, including Hengam, with no verified change in sovereignty. The island's location supports naval operations and shipping oversight, while residents have faced displacement from strikes. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments tied to Hormuz access could influence control dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$208,407Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Hengam Island, one of seven strategic islands forming its defensive line along the Strait of Hormuz. Recent US-Iran tensions, including the conflict that began February 28, 2026, prompted American strikes on nearby positions and islands such as Qeshm, Larak, and Greater Tunb, alongside Iranian closures of the strait and new maritime control zones. IRGC statements in early September 2026 reaffirmed full deployment and combat readiness across southern islands, including Hengam, with no verified change in sovereignty. The island's location supports naval operations and shipping oversight, while residents have faced displacement from strikes. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments tied to Hormuz access could influence control dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$208,407Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains firm control over Hengam Island, one of seven strategic islands forming its defensive line along the Strait of Hormuz. Recent US-Iran tensions, including the conflict that began February 28, 2026, prompted American strikes on nearby positions and islands such as Qeshm, Larak, and Greater Tunb, alongside Iranian closures of the strait and new maritime control zones. IRGC statements in early September 2026 reaffirmed full deployment and combat readiness across southern islands, including Hengam, with no verified change in sovereignty. The island's location supports naval operations and shipping oversight, while residents have faced displacement from strikes. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments tied to Hormuz access could influence control dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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