Heightened military tensions between Israel and Iran, including fresh exchanges of strikes in early June 2026, have renewed scrutiny of Israeli airspace operations. Following large-scale US and Israeli actions against Iranian targets in late February 2026 that triggered Iranian missile and drone responses, Tel Aviv FIR faced extended closures to civilian traffic, with regional airspaces in multiple neighboring states also restricted. As of mid-June, authorities maintain heightened alert status and limited operations at Ben Gurion Airport amid ongoing threats, though full closure has not been implemented in the latest reports. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further military developments, and any official Ministry of Transport announcements that could trigger temporary shutdowns or rerouting through the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$12,024,487 Объем
9 июн. 2026 г.
June 9
<1%
June 10
3%
June 11
3%
June 12
4%
June 13
8%
June 14
12%
June 15
14%
30 июня
24%
$12,024,487 Объем
June 9
$1,210,847 Объем
<1%
June 10
$212,029 Объем
3%
June 11
$44,403 Объем
3%
June 12
$27,931 Объем
4%
June 13
$18,282 Объем
8%
June 14
$13,786 Объем
12%
June 15
$4,156,504 Объем
14%
30 июня
$1,668,092 Объем
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Heightened military tensions between Israel and Iran, including fresh exchanges of strikes in early June 2026, have renewed scrutiny of Israeli airspace operations. Following large-scale US and Israeli actions against Iranian targets in late February 2026 that triggered Iranian missile and drone responses, Tel Aviv FIR faced extended closures to civilian traffic, with regional airspaces in multiple neighboring states also restricted. As of mid-June, authorities maintain heightened alert status and limited operations at Ben Gurion Airport amid ongoing threats, though full closure has not been implemented in the latest reports. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further military developments, and any official Ministry of Transport announcements that could trigger temporary shutdowns or rerouting through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 7, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Объем
$12,024,487Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 7, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Heightened military tensions between Israel and Iran, including fresh exchanges of strikes in early June 2026, have renewed scrutiny of Israeli airspace operations. Following large-scale US and Israeli actions against Iranian targets in late February 2026 that triggered Iranian missile and drone responses, Tel Aviv FIR faced extended closures to civilian traffic, with regional airspaces in multiple neighboring states also restricted. As of mid-June, authorities maintain heightened alert status and limited operations at Ben Gurion Airport amid ongoing threats, though full closure has not been implemented in the latest reports. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further military developments, and any official Ministry of Transport announcements that could trigger temporary shutdowns or rerouting through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$12,024,487Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 7, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened military tensions between Israel and Iran, including fresh exchanges of strikes in early June 2026, have renewed scrutiny of Israeli airspace operations. Following large-scale US and Israeli actions against Iranian targets in late February 2026 that triggered Iranian missile and drone responses, Tel Aviv FIR faced extended closures to civilian traffic, with regional airspaces in multiple neighboring states also restricted. As of mid-June, authorities maintain heightened alert status and limited operations at Ben Gurion Airport amid ongoing threats, though full closure has not been implemented in the latest reports. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further military developments, and any official Ministry of Transport announcements that could trigger temporary shutdowns or rerouting through the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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