President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and smooth transition process underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026, midway through his second term. Recent cabinet nominations, including high-profile picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Bessent for Treasury, alongside policy planning on border security and tariffs, demonstrate commitment to his agenda without any official statements or credible reports signaling intent to step down. Federal cases against him have been paused or dismissed post-election, alleviating legal pressures, while no health concerns or party infighting have emerged in the past 30 days. Barring unforeseen scandals, health events, or congressional gridlock, traders see minimal barriers to completion of his term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$403,642 Объем
$403,642 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$403,642 Объем
$403,642 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and smooth transition process underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026, midway through his second term. Recent cabinet nominations, including high-profile picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Bessent for Treasury, alongside policy planning on border security and tariffs, demonstrate commitment to his agenda without any official statements or credible reports signaling intent to step down. Federal cases against him have been paused or dismissed post-election, alleviating legal pressures, while no health concerns or party infighting have emerged in the past 30 days. Barring unforeseen scandals, health events, or congressional gridlock, traders see minimal barriers to completion of his term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Объем
$403,642Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and smooth transition process underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026, midway through his second term. Recent cabinet nominations, including high-profile picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Bessent for Treasury, alongside policy planning on border security and tariffs, demonstrate commitment to his agenda without any official statements or credible reports signaling intent to step down. Federal cases against him have been paused or dismissed post-election, alleviating legal pressures, while no health concerns or party infighting have emerged in the past 30 days. Barring unforeseen scandals, health events, or congressional gridlock, traders see minimal barriers to completion of his term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$403,642Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and smooth transition process underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026, midway through his second term. Recent cabinet nominations, including high-profile picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Bessent for Treasury, alongside policy planning on border security and tariffs, demonstrate commitment to his agenda without any official statements or credible reports signaling intent to step down. Federal cases against him have been paused or dismissed post-election, alleviating legal pressures, while no health concerns or party infighting have emerged in the past 30 days. Barring unforeseen scandals, health events, or congressional gridlock, traders see minimal barriers to completion of his term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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