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icon for Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?
Политика·Трамп

Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?

icon for Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?
Политика·Трамп

Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?

Кевин Уорш 99.8%

Мишель Боумен <1%

Джуди Шелтон <1%

Кевин Хассетт <1%

Polymarket

$53,340,965 Объем

Кевин Уорш 99.8%

Мишель Боумен <1%

Джуди Шелтон <1%

Кевин Хассетт <1%

Polymarket

$53,340,965 Объем

Кевин Уорш

$13,407,798 Объем

100%

Джуди Шелтон

$19,614,953 Объем

<1%

Кевин Хассетт

$2,032,019 Объем

<1%

Кристофер Уоллер

$2,213,269 Объем

<1%

Джером Пауэлл

$2,562,541 Объем

<1%

Стивен Миран

$1,653,455 Объем

<1%

Скотт Бессент

$4,661,901 Объем

<1%

Рик Рейдер

$2,072,784 Объем

<1%

Мишель Боумен

$5,123,423 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, whose term ends May 15, has advanced decisively through the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote on April 29, driving his 99.8% implied probability among traders. Warsh's April confirmation hearing addressed concerns over Fed independence and personal finances, while Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) pledged a yes vote on the floor, bolstering the path in a Republican-controlled Senate. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical confirmation patterns for nominees with committee approval, though late-breaking scandals, holds by key senators, or procedural delays could still challenge the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,340,965
Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, whose term ends May 15, has advanced decisively through the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote on April 29, driving his 99.8% implied probability among traders. Warsh's April confirmation hearing addressed concerns over Fed independence and personal finances, while Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) pledged a yes vote on the floor, bolstering the path in a Republican-controlled Senate. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical confirmation patterns for nominees with committee approval, though late-breaking scandals, holds by key senators, or procedural delays could still challenge the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,340,965
Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Кевин Уорш» с 100%, за ним следует «Джуди Шелтон» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $53.3 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?» — «Кевин Уорш» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джуди Шелтон» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет утвержден в качестве председателя ФРС?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.