Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces no active investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings from the Department of Justice, FBI, or other agencies that could lead to arrest by March 31, driving trader consensus to 99.8% on "No." Powell remains fully engaged in his role, recently testifying before Congress on monetary policy and interest rates without disruption, amid standard economic oversight. Absent any verified allegations, charges, or procedural signals in the past 30 days, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty rooted in institutional norms protecting central bank independence. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking scandals, sudden special counsel actions, or unprecedented executive orders before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$67,297 Объем
$67,297 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$67,297 Объем
$67,297 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces no active investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings from the Department of Justice, FBI, or other agencies that could lead to arrest by March 31, driving trader consensus to 99.8% on "No." Powell remains fully engaged in his role, recently testifying before Congress on monetary policy and interest rates without disruption, amid standard economic oversight. Absent any verified allegations, charges, or procedural signals in the past 30 days, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty rooted in institutional norms protecting central bank independence. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking scandals, sudden special counsel actions, or unprecedented executive orders before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Объем
$67,297Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces no active investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings from the Department of Justice, FBI, or other agencies that could lead to arrest by March 31, driving trader consensus to 99.8% on "No." Powell remains fully engaged in his role, recently testifying before Congress on monetary policy and interest rates without disruption, amid standard economic oversight. Absent any verified allegations, charges, or procedural signals in the past 30 days, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty rooted in institutional norms protecting central bank independence. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking scandals, sudden special counsel actions, or unprecedented executive orders before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$67,297Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces no active investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings from the Department of Justice, FBI, or other agencies that could lead to arrest by March 31, driving trader consensus to 99.8% on "No." Powell remains fully engaged in his role, recently testifying before Congress on monetary policy and interest rates without disruption, amid standard economic oversight. Absent any verified allegations, charges, or procedural signals in the past 30 days, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty rooted in institutional norms protecting central bank independence. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking scandals, sudden special counsel actions, or unprecedented executive orders before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы