Narrow Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 and roughly 220-215—fuel trader uncertainty for President-elect Trump's first full month of signing legislation in April 2025, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 35-38% across low-to-moderate outcomes like 0-4 bills. Recent lame-duck Congress negotiations on a continuing resolution, expiring December 20, exposed conservative pushback against spending levels, signaling potential whip counts and floor vote challenges ahead despite unified GOP control. Trump's transition team prioritizes executive orders for quick wins on border security and energy deregulation, potentially limiting bill flow, while must-pass appropriations and debt ceiling measures loom by early spring. Reconciliation could enable tax or policy packages without filibuster, but historical new-administration starts suggest modest output unless Speaker election and committee assignments yield early momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено2 38%
0 36%
4 36%
7+ 36%
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
0
36%
1
37%
2
38%
3
36%
4
36%
5
30%
6
35%
7+
36%
2 38%
0 36%
4 36%
7+ 36%
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
0
$0 Объем
36%
1
$4 Объем
37%
2
$0 Объем
38%
3
$0 Объем
36%
4
$0 Объем
36%
5
$0 Объем
30%
6
$0 Объем
35%
7+
$0 Объем
36%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narrow Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 and roughly 220-215—fuel trader uncertainty for President-elect Trump's first full month of signing legislation in April 2025, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 35-38% across low-to-moderate outcomes like 0-4 bills. Recent lame-duck Congress negotiations on a continuing resolution, expiring December 20, exposed conservative pushback against spending levels, signaling potential whip counts and floor vote challenges ahead despite unified GOP control. Trump's transition team prioritizes executive orders for quick wins on border security and energy deregulation, potentially limiting bill flow, while must-pass appropriations and debt ceiling measures loom by early spring. Reconciliation could enable tax or policy packages without filibuster, but historical new-administration starts suggest modest output unless Speaker election and committee assignments yield early momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Объем
$4Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narrow Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 and roughly 220-215—fuel trader uncertainty for President-elect Trump's first full month of signing legislation in April 2025, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 35-38% across low-to-moderate outcomes like 0-4 bills. Recent lame-duck Congress negotiations on a continuing resolution, expiring December 20, exposed conservative pushback against spending levels, signaling potential whip counts and floor vote challenges ahead despite unified GOP control. Trump's transition team prioritizes executive orders for quick wins on border security and energy deregulation, potentially limiting bill flow, while must-pass appropriations and debt ceiling measures loom by early spring. Reconciliation could enable tax or policy packages without filibuster, but historical new-administration starts suggest modest output unless Speaker election and committee assignments yield early momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Narrow Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 and roughly 220-215—fuel trader uncertainty for President-elect Trump's first full month of signing legislation in April 2025, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 35-38% across low-to-moderate outcomes like 0-4 bills. Recent lame-duck Congress negotiations on a continuing resolution, expiring December 20, exposed conservative pushback against spending levels, signaling potential whip counts and floor vote challenges ahead despite unified GOP control. Trump's transition team prioritizes executive orders for quick wins on border security and energy deregulation, potentially limiting bill flow, while must-pass appropriations and debt ceiling measures loom by early spring. Reconciliation could enable tax or policy packages without filibuster, but historical new-administration starts suggest modest output unless Speaker election and committee assignments yield early momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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