President Trump's active engagement in office, including signing an executive order on April 18 easing psychedelic restrictions, underscores the absence of any imminent removal threats, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against him being out by June 30. Early April Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation followed his Iran threats, but lacked Republican support in the GOP-controlled House and no Senate momentum, quickly fading without formal proceedings. High constitutional barriers—requiring House majority impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction—combined with no health issues, resignations, or scandals, solidify the low-probability "Yes" outcome, though late-breaking legal or health developments could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$3,057,925 Объем
$3,057,925 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$3,057,925 Объем
$3,057,925 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's active engagement in office, including signing an executive order on April 18 easing psychedelic restrictions, underscores the absence of any imminent removal threats, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against him being out by June 30. Early April Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation followed his Iran threats, but lacked Republican support in the GOP-controlled House and no Senate momentum, quickly fading without formal proceedings. High constitutional barriers—requiring House majority impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction—combined with no health issues, resignations, or scandals, solidify the low-probability "Yes" outcome, though late-breaking legal or health developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Объем
$3,057,925Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's active engagement in office, including signing an executive order on April 18 easing psychedelic restrictions, underscores the absence of any imminent removal threats, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against him being out by June 30. Early April Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation followed his Iran threats, but lacked Republican support in the GOP-controlled House and no Senate momentum, quickly fading without formal proceedings. High constitutional barriers—requiring House majority impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction—combined with no health issues, resignations, or scandals, solidify the low-probability "Yes" outcome, though late-breaking legal or health developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,057,925Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's active engagement in office, including signing an executive order on April 18 easing psychedelic restrictions, underscores the absence of any imminent removal threats, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against him being out by June 30. Early April Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation followed his Iran threats, but lacked Republican support in the GOP-controlled House and no Senate momentum, quickly fading without formal proceedings. High constitutional barriers—requiring House majority impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction—combined with no health issues, resignations, or scandals, solidify the low-probability "Yes" outcome, though late-breaking legal or health developments could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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