President Trump, 16 months into his second term following inauguration on January 20, 2025, faces no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability he remains in office beyond June 30, 2026. Republican majorities in Congress make House impeachment and the required two-thirds Senate conviction highly improbable without bipartisan revolt, while no recent health reports, scandals, or Cabinet discord suggest incapacity or voluntary exit. Absent extraordinary late-breaking developments like a major health crisis, unprecedented legal ruling, or political upheaval, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in constitutional term protections through 2029. No notable catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$5,070,106 Объем
$5,070,106 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$5,070,106 Объем
$5,070,106 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump, 16 months into his second term following inauguration on January 20, 2025, faces no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability he remains in office beyond June 30, 2026. Republican majorities in Congress make House impeachment and the required two-thirds Senate conviction highly improbable without bipartisan revolt, while no recent health reports, scandals, or Cabinet discord suggest incapacity or voluntary exit. Absent extraordinary late-breaking developments like a major health crisis, unprecedented legal ruling, or political upheaval, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in constitutional term protections through 2029. No notable catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Объем
$5,070,106Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump, 16 months into his second term following inauguration on January 20, 2025, faces no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability he remains in office beyond June 30, 2026. Republican majorities in Congress make House impeachment and the required two-thirds Senate conviction highly improbable without bipartisan revolt, while no recent health reports, scandals, or Cabinet discord suggest incapacity or voluntary exit. Absent extraordinary late-breaking developments like a major health crisis, unprecedented legal ruling, or political upheaval, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in constitutional term protections through 2029. No notable catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$5,070,111Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump, 16 months into his second term following inauguration on January 20, 2025, faces no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability he remains in office beyond June 30, 2026. Republican majorities in Congress make House impeachment and the required two-thirds Senate conviction highly improbable without bipartisan revolt, while no recent health reports, scandals, or Cabinet discord suggest incapacity or voluntary exit. Absent extraordinary late-breaking developments like a major health crisis, unprecedented legal ruling, or political upheaval, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in constitutional term protections through 2029. No notable catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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