President Donald Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remained after the May 15 chair term expiration represent the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment on attempts to oust the central banker. Powell has indicated he intends to serve out his governor term through 2028 pending Senate confirmation of a successor and resolution of a Justice Department criminal inquiry into headquarters renovations, a probe critics view as leverage for lower rates. These tensions test statutory limits on presidential removal authority, with potential implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and Fed funds rate expectations. Key near-term developments include Senate Banking Committee action on nominees such as Kevin Warsh and any related litigation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПопытается ли Трамп уволить Пауэлла с поста члена правления ФРС...?
$16,393 Объем
June 30
5%
31 декабря
21%
$16,393 Объем
June 30
5%
31 декабря
21%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remained after the May 15 chair term expiration represent the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment on attempts to oust the central banker. Powell has indicated he intends to serve out his governor term through 2028 pending Senate confirmation of a successor and resolution of a Justice Department criminal inquiry into headquarters renovations, a probe critics view as leverage for lower rates. These tensions test statutory limits on presidential removal authority, with potential implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and Fed funds rate expectations. Key near-term developments include Senate Banking Committee action on nominees such as Kevin Warsh and any related litigation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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