The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, has stretched past 70 days—the longest in U.S. history—driving trader consensus toward mid-to-late May resolution windows like May 18-24 (19%) and April 27-May 3 (17%). Partisan impasse persists, with Democrats opposing Republican policy riders and House GOP facing internal divisions delaying votes on a Senate-passed bipartisan bill funding TSA, FEMA, and other agencies. Senate's early April 23 budget resolution advancing $70 billion in reconciliation for border security adds momentum but awaits House action and committee work. Exhausting worker pay funds by May, plus strains on airport security and disaster response, heighten urgency; a House floor vote or compromise could swiftly separate frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
May 18-24 19%
April 27-May 3 17.2%
After July 31 13%
May 25-31 10%
April 20-26
4%
April 27-May 3
17%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
19%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
3%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
4%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
May 18-24 19%
April 27-May 3 17.2%
After July 31 13%
May 25-31 10%
April 20-26
4%
April 27-May 3
17%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
19%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
3%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
4%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, has stretched past 70 days—the longest in U.S. history—driving trader consensus toward mid-to-late May resolution windows like May 18-24 (19%) and April 27-May 3 (17%). Partisan impasse persists, with Democrats opposing Republican policy riders and House GOP facing internal divisions delaying votes on a Senate-passed bipartisan bill funding TSA, FEMA, and other agencies. Senate's early April 23 budget resolution advancing $70 billion in reconciliation for border security adds momentum but awaits House action and committee work. Exhausting worker pay funds by May, plus strains on airport security and disaster response, heighten urgency; a House floor vote or compromise could swiftly separate frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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