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Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?

Market icon

Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?

$531,707 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$531,707 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта 2026 года

$15,130 Объем

6%

31 декабря 2026 года

$603 Объем

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Объем
$531,707
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026
Дата создания
Nov 11, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 декабря 2026 года" at 26%, followed by "31 марта 2026 года" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?" has generated $531.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?" is "31 декабря 2026 года" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 марта 2026 года" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Будет ли Республиканская партия использовать «Ядерный вариант», чтобы сломать филибустер на...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.