Trader consensus strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 74%, driven by incompatible demands—Zelenskyy's precondition of full Russian troop withdrawal versus Putin's insistence on territorial recognition—amid stalled Ukraine peace talks since the 2022 Istanbul negotiations collapsed. No direct in-person encounters have occurred since the invasion began. Recent catalysts include Hungary's Orban conducting separate meetings with both leaders in July 2024, boosting Hungary odds to 2.5%; Turkey's Erdogan renewing offers to host (3.5%); and neutral Gulf states like Qatar/UAE (2.9%) and Saudi Arabia (2.1%) from prior mediation efforts. US odds (2.5%) reflect post-election speculation, though uncertainty persists with no scheduled summits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНет встречи до 2027 года 74%
Turkey 3.5%
Катар / ОАЭ 3.0%
Венгрия 2.6%
$877,930 Объем
$877,930 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
74%

Turkey
3%

Катар / ОАЭ
3%

Венгрия
3%

США
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Италия / Ватикан
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Китай
1%

Беларусь
1%

Казахстан
1%

Индия
1%

Украина
1%
Нет встречи до 2027 года 74%
Turkey 3.5%
Катар / ОАЭ 3.0%
Венгрия 2.6%
$877,930 Объем
$877,930 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
74%

Turkey
3%

Катар / ОАЭ
3%

Венгрия
3%

США
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Италия / Ватикан
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Китай
1%

Беларусь
1%

Казахстан
1%

Индия
1%

Украина
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 74%, driven by incompatible demands—Zelenskyy's precondition of full Russian troop withdrawal versus Putin's insistence on territorial recognition—amid stalled Ukraine peace talks since the 2022 Istanbul negotiations collapsed. No direct in-person encounters have occurred since the invasion began. Recent catalysts include Hungary's Orban conducting separate meetings with both leaders in July 2024, boosting Hungary odds to 2.5%; Turkey's Erdogan renewing offers to host (3.5%); and neutral Gulf states like Qatar/UAE (2.9%) and Saudi Arabia (2.1%) from prior mediation efforts. US odds (2.5%) reflect post-election speculation, though uncertainty persists with no scheduled summits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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