Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 74%, driven by stalled Ukraine-Russia peace talks amid irreconcilable demands—Kyiv insists on full territorial restoration and security guarantees, while Moscow requires recognition of annexed regions. Direct negotiations halted after 2022 Istanbul indirect talks, with recent escalations like Russia's Kursk incursion reinforcing deadlock. Turkey leads alternatives at 3.4% due to Erdogan's mediation history and Black Sea grain deal role; Qatar/UAE (2.9%) reflect Gulf diplomacy in swaps; Hungary (2.5%) ties to Orban's recent Moscow visit urging ceasefires. Trump's election has nudged US odds to 2.1%, but no firm summit catalysts have emerged, underscoring diplomatic inertia.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНет встречи до 2027 года 74%
Turkey 3.5%
Катар / ОАЭ 3.0%
Венгрия 2.6%
$877,664 Объем
$877,664 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
74%

Turkey
3%

Катар / ОАЭ
3%

Венгрия
3%

США
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Китай
1%

Беларусь
1%

Украина
1%

Индия
1%

Казахстан
1%

Италия / Ватикан
1%
Нет встречи до 2027 года 74%
Turkey 3.5%
Катар / ОАЭ 3.0%
Венгрия 2.6%
$877,664 Объем
$877,664 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
74%

Turkey
3%

Катар / ОАЭ
3%

Венгрия
3%

США
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Китай
1%

Беларусь
1%

Украина
1%

Индия
1%

Казахстан
1%

Италия / Ватикан
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 74%, driven by stalled Ukraine-Russia peace talks amid irreconcilable demands—Kyiv insists on full territorial restoration and security guarantees, while Moscow requires recognition of annexed regions. Direct negotiations halted after 2022 Istanbul indirect talks, with recent escalations like Russia's Kursk incursion reinforcing deadlock. Turkey leads alternatives at 3.4% due to Erdogan's mediation history and Black Sea grain deal role; Qatar/UAE (2.9%) reflect Gulf diplomacy in swaps; Hungary (2.5%) ties to Orban's recent Moscow visit urging ceasefires. Trump's election has nudged US odds to 2.1%, but no firm summit catalysts have emerged, underscoring diplomatic inertia.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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